Prediction Score: +4 (moderately bullish bias; early signs of buyer control resuming), and our bullish threshold has been activated, according to the tradeCompass on Ethereum (still valid)
Ether Futures Morning context (pre-U.S. open)
-
Price behavior: Consolidated between today’s VAH 4219 and POC 4208.
-
Order flow: Neutral, low-volume rotation. Market participants were waiting for the open, positioning light.
-
Key levels in play:
-
4177 (VAL of Sep 22), not tested.
-
4208 (today’s POC, dotted orange line).
-
4219 (today’s VAH).
-
4240 (Sep 22 VAH + VWAP close, magenta; not shown on this chart).
-
U.S. open shakeout (10:00 ET bar)
-
Candle: Large red bar, 173 trades / 187 volume.
-
Delta: -19 (negative, ~-10% delta %).
-
Delta SL: +5 (modest, but crucially not zero, showing some buyer defense at the lows).
-
Interpretation: Aggressive sellers drove price down, but failed to press into 4177 support. Buyers stepped in before the key level — a bullish tell of “can’t wait” demand. This was likely a stop-hunt / trap move to lure shorts.
Reversal sequence on Ether Futures Today (10:30 + 11:00 ET bars)
-
10:30 bar:
-
Green candle, 91 trades / 96 volume.
-
Delta: +16 (+16.67%), Min Δ only -2.
-
Price never retested 10:00’s low, instead reclaimed VAL 4192 → VWAP 4196 and pushed into the HVN of the prior bar.
-
-
11:00 bar:
-
Green candle, 41 trades / 44 volume.
-
Delta: -1 but tiny; balanced order flow.
-
Price hovering just under 4208 POC.
-
Interpretation: This is a classic reversal structure:
-
Trap shorts at 10:00 (sellers chase breakdown).
-
Buyers absorb and lift at 10:30 (positive delta, structural reclaim).
-
Follow-through attempt at 11:00, pressing toward 4216–4219, where many shorts likely set stops.
The unfolding Ethereum story for traders today
-
Trap + reversal dynamic: The 10:00 red bar was the bait; the 10:30/11:00 sequence is the trap springing shut.
-
Stop cluster: Around 4216, above the 10:00 bar high. If broken, it likely accelerates into 4219 VAH.
-
Next magnet: 4240 (Sep 22 VAH + VWAP close) is a high-probability upside test if buyers keep pressure on.
Investor perspective (decision-support, not advice)
-
Scaling logic:
-
Targets: Initial upside 4240; extension possible if buyers anchor value above it.
-
Risk guardrails: If price fails at 4216–4219 and slips back below 4192, patience advised — range trade may resume.
Why this matters for long-term investors
Typical candlestick charts only show the “dive and rebound.” OrderFlow Intel reveals why: sellers could not drive into 4177, buyers stepped in early, and now trapped shorts may fuel a leg higher. This is the kind of under-the-hood confirmation that helps investors decide whether to begin scaling in or wait for stronger confirmation.
Summary: Ethereum Futures is showing early bullish reversal signs post-U.S. open. Watch for 4216 → 4219 breakout to unlock the path toward 4240. Until then, the bias is bullish, but confirmation comes only with value acceptance above today’s VAH.
This is not financial advice. Visit investingLive.com, formerly ForexLive.com, for additional views.
