While EUR/CHF’s recovery from 0.9402 extended last week, it failed to break through 0.9543 resistance and reversed from there. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further decline is expected. On the downside, firm break of 0.9407 will confirm larger down trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9325. However, sustained break of 0.9543 will bring further rally back to 0.9683 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.
In the long term picture, outlook remains bearish as it’s staying well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0307). Larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in progress to break through 0.9407 low.
