EUR/GBP’s fall last week argues that rebound from 0.8529 has completed at 0.8619 already. Initial bias remain the downside this week for 0.8529 support first. Decisive break there will that larger down trend is ready to resume through 0.8491/7 support one. On the upside, above 0.8579 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as EUR/GBP is capped below medium term falling trendline. That is, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.8491/7 will target 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376.
In the long term picture, price action from 0.9499 (2020 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Range trading should continue between 0.8201 and 0.9499, until there is clear signal of imminent breakout.
