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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2599; (P) 1.2620; (R1) 1.2650; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains mildly on the upside. Correction from 1.2826 might have completed with three waves down to 1.2517. Further rise would be seen to retest 1.2826 high. On the downside, however, decisive break of 1.2499 will argue that whole rise from 1.2036 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish.

gbpusd20240208a1

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s still in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

gbpusd20240208a2

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