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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2672; (P) 1.2694; (R1) 1.2725; More…

GBP/USD is still extending the consolidation pattern from 1.2826 and intraday bias stays neutral. Break of 1.2595 support will target 1.2499 support. On the upside, however, firm break of 1.2784 resistance will suggest that the consolidation pattern has completed. Further rally should then resume through 1.2826 towards 1.3141 high.

gbpusd20240122b1

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

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