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Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.76; (P) 148.58; (R1) 150.09; More…

Immediate focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41. Decisive break there will bring stronger rally to 61.8% retracement at 154.19, even as a corrective move. On the downside, break of 146.06 minor support will suggest rejection by 149.91, and turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 141.67 low instead.

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In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.77) holds. Nevertheless, firm break of 55 W EMA will suggest that the range for medium term corrective pattern is already set.

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