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FX option expiries for 21 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 21 November 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first ones are for EUR/USD at the 1.0500 and 1.0515 levels. And alongside key technical resistance on the weekly chart at the 1.0500 mark itself, that should provide a floor for price action in...

FX option expiries for 20 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 20 November 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.They are for EUR/USD at the 1.0540 and 1.0620 levels. The former isn't one that holds much technical significance so I wouldn't bet on it to come into play, although geopolitical headlines...

FX option expiries for 19 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 19 November 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.0600 level. It isn't one that holds much technical significance and with the dollar retracing back some of its moves from last week, the expiries may not offer too...

FX option expiries for 18 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 18 November 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.They are for EUR/USD at the 1.0500 and 1.0520 levels. Similar to last week, the former will be the more important one to watch as it sits alongside a key technical support region for the pair. That will...

FX option expiries for 15 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 15 November 10am New York cut

There is just one to really take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the pivotal 1.0500 level. As mentioned here, that is a major technical mark for the pair and the expiries today highlights the added interest towards that. If...

FX option expiries for 14 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 14 November 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of, as highlighted in bold. But dollar domination is the name of the game now, so just be wary that the expiries aren't going to matter all too much.The one highlighted is for EUR/USD at the 1.0550 level. However, it isn't one that holds...

FX option expiries for 13 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 13 November 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.They are both for EUR/USD at the 1.0600 and 1.0650 levels. The former in particular will continue to be a notable one, adding another layer to key support at the figure level for the time being. As such,...

FX option expiries for 12 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 12 November 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.And they are both for EUR/USD at the 1.0600 and 1.0625 levels. The pair is being pressured to the downside, touching its lowest levels since April now as the dollar continues to rampage...

FX option expiries for 11 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 11 November 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.0700 level. The daily lows last week were held by the figure level, so the expiries will add another layer to that as we get the new week underway at least. With the bond market...

FX option expiries for 8 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 8 November 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.And again, they are all for EUR/USD layered in between 1.0750 through to 1.0800. Post-election sentiment is still the name of the game in driving FX flows now, so the expiries are just...

FX option expiries for 7 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 7 November 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.They are both for EUR/USD at the 1.0725 and 1.0775 levels. To some degree, the expiries might just lock price action in between these levels but it's all about post-election sentiment now. And momentum flows...

FX option expiries for 6 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 6 November 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. But on a day like this, the influence of the expiries is far from the first thing in driving or impacting trading sentiment. It's all about the US election and the momentum flows riding from the...

FX option expiries for 5 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 5 November 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.And they are for EUR/USD at the 1.0850 and 1.0900 levels. Considering the focus on the US election, this will keep price action more boxed in going into European trading and before we get to the election...

FX option expiries for 4 November 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 4 November 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first one is for EUR/USD at the 1.0900 level. The figure level isn't one that holds any technical significance but the expiries could well help to box in price action in the session ahead. That...

FX option expiries for 31 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 31 October 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first one is for EUR/USD at the 1.0850 level and that is likely to limit price action until we get to the euro area inflation data later. The numbers there offers a risk to the single currency, but there...

FX option expiries for 30 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 30 October 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.And they are both for EUR/USD at the 1.0775 and 1.0850 levels. The expiries are sandwiching the spot price at the moment with price action this week largely contained in between 1.0780 through...

FX option expiries for 29 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 29 October 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.It's the same one for EUR/USD as seen yesterday, at the 1.0800 level. The expiries today are relatively large and could provide a draw/magnet for price action in the session ahead. That could very...

FX option expiries for 28 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 28 October 10am New York cut

There is just one to really take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.0800 level. Alongside the 100-hour moving average nearby at 1.0802 currently, it is likely to keep a lid on price action in the session ahead. That especially...

FX option expiries for 25 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 25 October 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The ones for EUR/USD are seen at the 1.0800 and 1.0820 levels. The ones at the former held price action yesterday before rolling off and the ones today should keep downside price action more limited...

FX option expiries for 24 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 24 October 10am New York cut

There are quite a number on the board for the day, as highlighted in bold.The first ones are for EUR/USD at the 1.0780 level through to 1.0800. That might keep price action locked in for a while until we get to the euro area PMI data later. If there is downside...

FX option expiries for 23 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 23 October 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first being for EUR/USD at the 1.0850 level. The size of the expiries is noteworthy but it might not feature too much into play as the dollar is keeping firmer this week. Besides that, there is...

FX option expiries for 22 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 22 October 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first one is for EUR/USD at the 1.0850 level. It coincides with the 100-hour moving average currently, which is where price action was held up in trading yesterday. As such, the expiries alongside the...

FX option expiries for 21 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 21 October 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first being for EUR/USD at the 1.0885 level. It isn't one that holds much technical significance, especially with the 100-hour moving average at 1.0866 pinning price action down for now. But it...

FX option expiries for 18 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 18 October 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.0850 level. It isn't one that ties too much with any key technical levels but the expiries could help to just keep a lid on price action for the session ahead. That...

FX option expiries for 17 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 17 October 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for AUD/USD at the 0.6700 level. When paired together with the technical predicament here, the expiries add another layer for buyers to have to chew through in the session ahead. As such,...

FX option expiries for 16 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 16 October 10am New York cut

There aren't any major expiries to take note of on the day. As such, trading sentiment might be a bit more muted in the session ahead. The dollar is keeping steadier across the board, so that continues to be the running theme since two weeks ago. There's no...

FX option expiries for 15 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 15 October 10am New York cut

There are some large ones on the board for today but may not feature into play given the current spot price levels.The one for EUR/USD is seen at the 1.1000 mark but as the dollar holds firmer, it's not likely to factor into price action in the session ahead. There...

FX option expiries for 14 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 14 October 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first one is for EUR/USD at the 1.0950 level. That sits near the 100-hour moving average at 1.0949 currently with the bigger picture focus being on the pair's 100-day moving average at 1.0935....

FX option expiries for 11 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 11 October 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.And they are for EUR/USD at the 1.0930 and 1.0950 levels. If anything else, the expiries should help to keep price action more locked in that range in the session ahead. All that before we get to US...

FX option expiries for 10 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 10 October 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first being for USD/JPY at the 149.50 level. And that could help to act as a bit of a magnet to lock price action in before we get to the US CPI report later in the day. The pair remains buoyed...

FX option expiries for 8 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 8 October 10am New York cut

Justin will be back tomorrow. I know that'll be a relief for many of you options guys - I feel the same. USD/JPY: 150.00 (US$951m), 145.45 (US$750.1m)EUR/USD: 1.1085 (EUR1.11b), 1.1250 (EUR1.03b), 1.1000 (EUR1.01b)AUD/USD: 0.6800 (AUD781m), 0.6740 (AUD554m), 0.6825...

FX option expiries for 4 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 4 October 10am New York cut

Justin is off for a few days. I'll be posting these for another couple of days before regular (and much better 😉 ) service resumes! EUR/USD: 1.1000 (EUR2.09b), 1.1100 (EUR1.07b)USD/JPY: 148.00 (US$958m), 146.25 (US$879m)USD/CAD: 1.3350 (US$1.68b), 1.3500 (US$993m),...

FX option expiries for 2 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 2 October 10am New York cut

Justin is off for a few days. Apparently he is in Tokyo. Like I said yesterday, I am not jealous. Nope. 🙁 USD/JPY: 145.00 (US$2.12b), 150.00 (US$1.4b), 144.35 (US$1.2b)EUR/USD: 1.1100 (EUR2.54b), 1.0550 (EUR1.94b), 1.1060 (EUR1.61b)AUD/USD: 0.6650 (AUD1.11b), 0.6785...

FX option expiries for 3 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 3 October 10am New York cut

USD/JPY: 148.00 (US$1.74b), 145.75 (US$1.15b)EUR/USD: 1.1100 (EUR4.06b), 1.1060 (EUR2.37b), 1.1000 (EUR2.04b)AUD/USD: 0.6950 (AUD739.5m), 0.6785 (AUD1.16b)USD/CAD: 1.3550 (US$1.09b)NZD/USD: 0.6310 (NZD1.4b)GBP/USD: 1.3130 (GBP479.8m), 1.3300 (GBP381.1m)USD/CHF:0.8500...

FX option expiries for 2 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 2 October 10am New York cut

Justin is off for a few days. I am not jealous. Nope. 🙁 For the 10am New York cut today, Wednesday, October 2, 2024: USD/JPY144.00 (USD832m), 139.00 (USD560m)EUR/USD1.1025 (EUR2.11b), 1.1125 (EUR1.48b), 1.1100 (EUR1.21b)AUD/USD0.6950 (AUD495m), 0.6800...

FX option expiries for 1 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 1 October 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1100 level. The price action since last week shows that it might take a bit to travel there but if it does, the expiries will act as a bit of a defensive layer...

How major market indexes performed in the third quarter

How major market indexes performed in the third quarter

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

FX option expiries for 30 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 30 September 10am New York cut

There aren't any major expiries to take note of on the day. But just be wary that trading sentiment could be impacted by month-end and quarter-end flows later, especially when we get closer towards the London fix. That might make for a bit of a trickier time in...

FX option expiries for 27 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 27 September 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for USD/CAD at the 1.3500 level. It isn't one that ties to a technical level, so it isn't too significant. But if anything else, it could just draw and keep a lid on price action until we...

October forex seasonals: It’s harvest time

October forex seasonals: It’s harvest time

When markets open up on Monday, it will be October. Notably, Chinese markets will be open Monday as the Chinese Communist Party celebrates 75 years in power. From there, Chinese equity markets will be closed for the remainder of the week.That's an important detail...

FX option expiries for 26 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 26 September 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first ones are for EUR/USD at the 1.1150 and 1.1180-90 levels. That could play a role in locking price action a fair bit during the session ahead, amid the lack of other catalysts in driving the...

FX option expiries for 25 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 25 September 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The standout ones are for EUR/USD at the 1.1200-10 levels. There is already key technical resistance holding the pair thereabouts as seen here, so the expiries will add another layer to that. So,...

FX option expiries for 23 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 23 September 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1150 level. It isn't one that holds much technical significance, but it could put a bit of a floor to price action during the session ahead at least. That with the...

FX option expiries for 20 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 20 September 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first ones are for EUR/USD and layered between 1.1150 and 1.1200. Given the more muted action so far, the expiries could keep price action in check before rolling off later in the day. If the...

FX option expiries for 19 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 19 September 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.And they are all for EUR/USD, layered in between 1.1100 through to 1.1150. Traders are still largely digesting the Fed decision from yesterday but the expiries above could play a role in locking...

FX option expiries for 18 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 18 September 10am New York cut

It's all about the Fed today, and there isn't anything too significant on the option expiries board to really influence price action in the meantime.There is a decent sized one for USD/JPY at 141.00 but we might not really revisit that level until we get to the FOMC...

FX option expiries for 17 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 17 September 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first one is for EUR/USD at the 1.1125 level. It rests at the 38.2/61.8 Fib retracement level of the swing lower since August, so there's that. But if anything else, the expiries could just keep price...

FX option expiries for 16 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 16 September 10am New York cut

There aren't really any to take note of on the day. As such, trading sentiment will rely more on the positioning flows in the run up to the FOMC meeting later in the week. The dollar is under pressure now with yields pinned lower and that will continue to be the key...

FX option expiries for 13 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 13 September 10am New York cut

There is arguably just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for AUD/USD at the 0.6740 level. It isn't one that holds much technical significance though, so there might not be much in it. But if anything else, the expiries could keep price...

FX option expiries for 12 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 12 September 10am New York cut

There are quite a number to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first ones are for EUR/USD and they are layered from 1.1000 through to 1.1050. That sort of keeps a lock on things until we get to the ECB later at least. That especially the extremely large one at...

FX option expiries for 11 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 11 September 10am New York cut

There is arguably just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1000 level. Again, if anything else, it will help to act as a bit of a floor to price action before rolling off later in the day. That said, just be wary that...

FX option expiries for 10 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 10 September 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first one is for EUR/USD at the 1.1000 level. If anything else, it will just act as a slight magnet or at most a floor for price action before rolling off in the session ahead. But given...

FX option expiries for 6 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 6 September 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first ones are for EUR/USD at the 1.1100 and 1.1150 levels. They are likely to help sandwich price action as traders wait on the US jobs report later in the day. And that is just that, markets are all...

FX option expiries for 5 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 5 September 10am New York cut

There are quite a number to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first ones are for EUR/USD and they are layered between 1.1060 through to 1.1100. The expiries are likely to help keep price action more contained in the session ahead, at least until we...

FX option expiries for 4 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 4 September 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for USD/CAD at the 1.3515 level. It isn't one that really holds any technical significance but the expiries there could act as a bit of a floor to price action, at least until we get to...

FX option expiries for 3 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 3 September 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first being for EUR/USD at the 1.1050 mark. And that could perhaps limit price action and make things a bit stickier in the session ahead before we get to the US open. Similarly, the one for USD/CAD at the...

FX option expiries for 2 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 2 September 10am New York cut

There isn't anything major to take note of for today. And that is understandable, given a holiday for North American markets. So, technically the week only really kicks into gear tomorrow.We'll have jobs-related data from the US to work through during the week. So,...

EURUSD Eyes 2023 Top After Quick Rally

EURUSD Eyes 2023 Top After Quick Rally

EURUSD returns to positive trend after Powell confirms dovish policy adjustment Technical signals reflect weakening positive bias; next resistance could be at 1.1240-1.1274 EURUSD has had a great August so far, rising sharply from 1.0776 to nearly 1.1200 to mark its...

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF’s retreat from 0.9579 extended lower last week but recovered slightly ahead of 0.9448 support. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further rally is in favor. On the upside, sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 0.9576) will pave the way back to...

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD gyrated lower last week despite weak downside momentum. On the downside, sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.6432) will argue that rise from 1.5996 has completed. Deeper fall would then be seen back to this support. Nevertheless, strong rebound from...

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP’s steep decline last week suggest that rebound from 0.8382 has completed 0.8624 already, after rejection by 0.8643 resistance. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for retesting 0.8382 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the...

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY stayed in sideway trading below 163.86 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 163.86 will target 61.8% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 167.38, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from...

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY stayed in sideway trading below 191.99 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, above 191.99 will target 61.8% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 197.35, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from...

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD’s rally continued last week despite interim retreat. Initial bias is on the upside this week with focus on 0.6798 resistance. Firm break there will extend the rally from 0.6348 to 0.6870 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.6696 support turn bias to the...

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF’s extended decline last week suggests that rebound from 0.8431 has completed at 0.8747, after rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8431 at 0.8734. Initial bias is on the downside this week for retesting 0.8431 support first. Firm break there will...

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD’s rally accelerated higher last week and the break of 1.3141 resistance confirms larger up trend resumption. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.3043 from 1.2664 at 1.3409. On the downside, below 1.3075 minor support...

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD’s rally continued last week and the strong break of 1.1138 resistance argues that larger up trend may be resuming. Initial bias is on the upside this week for t 161.8% projection of 1.0665 to 1.0947 from 1.0776 at 1.1232, and then 1.1274 high. On the downside,...

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY gyrated lower last week even though momentum is a bit unconvincing. Still, the development suggests that rebound from 141.67 has completed at 149.35, after rejection by 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41. Initial bias is on the downside this week...

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD’s steep decline and strong break of 1.3588 support argues that while rise from 1.3176 has completed already. Fall from 1.3946 is seen as another falling leg inside medium term range pattern. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 1.3477 support. Firm...

Summary 8/26 – 8/30

Summary 8/26 – 8/30

Monday, Aug 26, 2024 Tuesday, Aug 27, 2024 Wednesday, Aug 28, 2024 Thursday, Aug 29, 2024 Friday, Aug 30, 2024 The post Summary 8/26 – 8/30 appeared first on Action Forex.

USDCAD Still Fights With 1.3600

USDCAD Still Fights With 1.3600

USDCAD repeatedly tests the 200-day SMA Momentum oscillators are mixed USDCAD has been battling with the 1.3600 round number and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) over the last couple of days. A successful break beneath these critical levels could open the way...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1085; (P) 1.1125; (R1) 1.1152; More…. EUR/USD is staying in consolidation below 1.1173 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected as long as 1.1046 resistance turned support holds. Above 1.1173 will target 161.8%...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3069; (P) 1.3100; (R1) 1.3122; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral first with 4H MACD crossed below signal line. On the upside, decisive break of 61.8% projection of 1.2298 to 1.3043 from 1.2664 at 1.3124 and 1.3141 resistance will...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8496; (P) 0.8515; (R1) 0.8541; More….. Intraday bias in USD/CHF Is turned neutral first with current recovery. While stronger rise cannot be ruled out, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8747 resistance holds. Below 0.8488 will target...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets At a hearing before Parliament this morning, BoJ governor Ueda had a balanced but after all clear message. The BoJ has started policy normalization and intends to further walk that path if inflation and growth continue to develop in line with the banks’...

Weekly Focus – More Soft Manufacturing Signals

Weekly Focus – More Soft Manufacturing Signals

Markets remained calm this week with risk sentiment improving further. Stock markets continued to trade higher taking S&P500 back to the recent highs reached in mid-July and cyclical metal prices increased as well. Bond yields drifted moderately lower in the US...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.19; (P) 145.55; (R1) 146.63; More… Outlook in USD/JPY is unchanged and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 144.44 temporary low will reaffirm the case that rebound form 141.67 has completed, and bring retest of this low. On...

Calm Before the Speech: Markets Steady Ahead of Powell

Calm Before the Speech: Markets Steady Ahead of Powell

Trading in the forex markets remains muted as investors hold their positions ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s highly anticipated speech at Jackson Hole. Market participants are keenly focused on any signals regarding the Fed’s plans for monetary policy easing,...

Yen Edges Higher on BoJ’s Ueda Hawkish Remarks

Yen Edges Higher on BoJ’s Ueda Hawkish Remarks

The Japanese yen is in positive territory on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 146.06, down 0.14% on the day. The yen has looked sharp this week, gaining 1% against the struggling US dollar. Japan’s Core CPI rises to 2.7% Japan’s core CPI rose...

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Surges, USD/CAD Drops To Support

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Surges, USD/CAD Drops To Support

GBP/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.2920 zone. USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.3640 level. Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today The British Pound is eyeing more gains above the 1.3130 resistance. There is a connecting...

Analysis of GBP/USD: The Pair Approaches 2023 High

Analysis of GBP/USD: The Pair Approaches 2023 High

Yesterday, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for both the UK and the US were released. According to ForexFactory, the UK figures were as follows: → Flash Manufacturing PMI: actual = 52.5, forecast = 52.1; previous = 52.1; → Flash Services PMI: actual = 53.3,...

US 100 Index Sits at Key Level

US 100 Index Sits at Key Level

US 100 index exhibits bearish tendencies but stabilizes near 50-SMA Technical risk is two-sided as Powell prepares for his Jackson hole speech( 14:00 GMT) Bulls hope for a close above 19,880; bears need a drop below 19,350 The US 100 stock index came under pressure on...

GBPJPY’s Recovery Stalls at 200-day SMA

GBPJPY’s Recovery Stalls at 200-day SMA

GBPJPY attempts to recover from recent 8-month low But the rebound falters after testing 200-day SMA RSI and MACD remain tilted to the bearish side GBPJPY experienced a vast selloff in July, dropping from a 16-year peak of 208.10 to as low as 180.07 on August 5, which...

FX option expiries for 23 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 23 August 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1100 level again. Similar to yesterday, the expiries are likely to help lock price action from falling off too much in the session ahead. That at least until we get to...

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8502; (P) 0.8524; (R1) 0.8538; More…. EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.8624 resumed by breaking through 0.8507 temporary low as well as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8498. Intraday bias is back on the downs for 61.8% retracement of 0.8382 to 0.8624 at 0.8474. Firm...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1108; (P) 1.1141; (R1) 1.1183; More…. A temporary top is in place in EUR/USD with 4H MACD crossed below signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations first. But further rally is expected as long as 1.1046 resistance turned...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3028; (P) 1.3074; (R1) 1.3137; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Decisive break of r 61.8% projection of 1.2298 to 1.3043 from 1.2664 at 1.3124, which is close to 1.3141 high, will confirm larger up trend...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets European data today managed to temporarily steal attention away from the US. August PMI figures showed EMU business activity rising at a faster pace, but there’s more than meets the eye. The composite PMI ticked up to 51.2 (3-month high) whereas consensus...

Gold Struggles After Reaching New Highs

Gold Struggles After Reaching New Highs

Gold started the week with a decisive renewal of all-time highs, reaching the maximum spot price of $2531 per troy ounce. However, the bulls failed to seize the initiative finally, and on Thursday, gold lost more than 1%, falling back to the depths of the upward trend...

NZ Dollar Slips Ahead of Retail Sales, Powell’s Speech

NZ Dollar Slips Ahead of Retail Sales, Powell’s Speech

The New Zealand dollar is drifting on Thursday. In the North American session, NZD/USD has fallen to 0.6132 at the time of writing, down 0.41% on the day. The New Zealand dollar continues to have its way with its US counterpart and has soared 4% since July 29. New...

Japanese Yen Price Action Ideas: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY

Japanese Yen Price Action Ideas: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY

The Japanese Yen has seen significant volatility in recent weeks, influenced by factors like US Dollar recovery and mixed Japanese economic data. USD/JPY shows potential for retesting the 150.00 level, with resistance at 146.37 and support around 143.60. EUR/JPY...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8487; (P) 0.8525; (R1) 0.8554; More….. Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside for the moment. Fall from 0.8747 is in progress for retesting 0.8431. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 0.9223 towards 0.8332 low. On the upside,...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.19; (P) 145.55; (R1) 146.63; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with 4H MACD crossed above signal line. The corrective structure of the fall from 149.35 dampened the original bearish view that rebound from 141.67 has completed. On...

US initial jobless claims falls rises to 232k

US initial jobless claims falls rises to 232k

US initial jobless claims rose 4k to 232k in the week ending August 17, matched expectations. Four-week moving average of initial claims fell -750 to 236k. Continuing claims rose 4k to 1863k in the week ending August 10, highest since November 27, 2021. Four-week...

(ECB) Monetary policy accounts – Action Forex

(ECB) Monetary policy accounts – Action Forex

Account of the monetary policy meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank held in Frankfurt am Main on Wednesday and Thursday, 17-18 July 2024 22 August 2024 1. Review of financial, economic and monetary developments and policy options Financial...

Crypto Tug of War – Action Forex

Crypto Tug of War – Action Forex

Market picture The crypto market gained 1.7% in the last 24 hours to reach $2.14 trillion, continuing to test August’s resistance. Bitcoin rose 2.6%, while Ethereum gained 1.2%. The battle for a 10th position in the CoinMarketCap has intensified: Tron’s 5.5% drop to a...

JP 225 Index: Is There More Upside on the Horizon?

JP 225 Index: Is There More Upside on the Horizon?

JP 225 index reclaims August’s loss Short-term risk is on the positive side Will the bulls breach the 38,600-39,950 area too? Japan’s 225 stock index (cash) is trading with soft positive momentum on Thursday for the second consecutive day, hitting a three-week high of...

WTI Futures Fall to a 7-Month Low

WTI Futures Fall to a 7-Month Low

WTI futures drop to their lowest level since January 17 Momentum indicators are heavily tilted to bearish side  WTI oil futures (October delivery) have been in a steady retreat following their rejection at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) in mid-August. On...

FX option expiries for 22 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 22 August 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.However, given the overarching theme in markets this week i.e. dollar weakness, the expiries for EUR/USD at the 1.1100 level may not matter too much. The pair is looking to secure a breakout as noted...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1090; (P) 1.1112; (R1) 1.1151; More…. Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Firm break of 1.1138 resistance will target 161.8% projection of 1.0665 to 1.0947 from 1.0776 at 1.1232. On the downside, below 1.1071 minor...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2989; (P) 1.3020; (R1) 1.3067; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside with focus on 1.3043 resistance. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 1.2998 to 61.8% projection of 1.2298 to 1.3043 from 1.2664 at 1.3124, which is...

USD/CHF Mid-Days Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Days Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8507; (P) 0.8572; (R1) 0.8605; More….. USD/CHF’s fall from 0.8747 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside for retesting 0.8431. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 0.9223 towards 0.8332. On the upside, above...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets The ‘waiting game’ continued today in Europe and at the onset of the US trading session, counting down in the first place to today’s BLS payrolls revisions and to the Minutes of the Fed July 31 policy meeting later today. Even the $16 bn sale of 20-y US...

Yen Heads for a New Round of Growth

Yen Heads for a New Round of Growth

Since the end of last week, the Yen has regained ground against the Dollar and the Euro in what looks like a new round of appreciation. So far, this seems to be an independent theme for the Yen’s rise, without any deterioration in sentiment in the equity and bond...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.53; (P) 145.94; (R1) 146.67; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Rebound from 141.67 could have completed at 149.35 after rejection by 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41. Deeper fall would...

GBP/USD Hits 1-Month High, UK PMIs Next

GBP/USD Hits 1-Month High, UK PMIs Next

The British pound is showing limited movement on Wednesday, after a four-day rally in which it surged 1.7% against the retreating US dollar. GBP/USD is trading at 1.3047 in the North American session at the time of writing, up 0.1% on the day. All eyes on Jerome...

Dollar Continues to Struggle Amid Market Lull

Dollar Continues to Struggle Amid Market Lull

The forex markets are experiencing a lull today, with little movement in the absence of significant economic releases during European and early US sessions. The much-discussed non-farm payroll revision and the release of FOMC minutes later today are unlikely to spark...

Euro Drifting as Investors Eye Fed Minutes

Euro Drifting as Investors Eye Fed Minutes

The euro is calm on Wednesday after an impressive 3-day rally which saw EUR/USD jump 1.4%. Will the upswing continue? In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1220 at the time of writing, down 0.08% on the day. ECB likely to lower rates in September despite...

EURUSD Bulls Stay in Charge

EURUSD Bulls Stay in Charge

EURUSD extends rally, hits 1.1130 But oscillators point to fading momentum A setback may be possible before the next leg north EURUSD has been in a steady rally since August 15, when it hit support at 1.0950, and it is currently testing the key resistance zone of...

Gold Bulls May Rest after Record High

Gold Bulls May Rest after Record High

Gold pulls below record high; might give up more ground Market trend stays positive as long as price holds above 2,463 Gold lost momentum after unlocking an all-time high of 2,531 on Tuesday near the rising constraining line drawn from July’s low, but it maintained...

US Dollar Extends Losses, Gold Shines

US Dollar Extends Losses, Gold Shines

There was no major news on the wire to trigger the minor selloff in global equities, so it was nothing else than a correction after a long rally following an ugly meltdown. As such, the S&P500 and Nasdaq were slightly down, by around 0.20% each, the European Stoxx...

Payrolls Revision Flagged as Potential Gamechanger

Payrolls Revision Flagged as Potential Gamechanger

Markets The recent comeback momentum on US stock markets stalled yesterday with main US benchmarks suffering minor losses (-0.25%) following an astonishing rally over the past two weeks. Other directional trades continued. US Treasuries outperformed German Bunds with...

USDJPY Rises But Still in Negative Territory

USDJPY Rises But Still in Negative Territory

USDJPY remains below 200-day SMA and uptrend line RSI ticks higher reflecting the latest move USDJPY is gaining some ground after three consecutive red days and losing around 3% from the 149.50 resistance level. The market has been trading beneath the long-term...

NZDUSD Hits Fresh 2-month High

NZDUSD Hits Fresh 2-month High

NZDUSD stages a V-shaped recovery from 2024 low The pair jumps above 200-day SMA to its highest since June 14 Oscillators improve notably, suggesting increasing bullish bias NZDUSD has been steadily regaining ground since the beginning of the month after finding its...

FX option expiries for 21 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 21 August 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1100 level. There has been expiries here all through the week and the ones today will still have some slight influence on price action. For one, it could act as a bit...

Australian Dollar’s Rally Runs Out of Steam

Australian Dollar’s Rally Runs Out of Steam

The Australian dollar has steadied after pummeling the US dollar over the past two sessions. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6729 in the European session, down 0.04% on the day at the time of writing. RBA minutes: Rates will remain steady The RBA minutes from the meeting...

Why Do Oil Prices Post Notable Losses?

Why Do Oil Prices Post Notable Losses?

Oil prices have decreased lately as a result of various crucial factors Technical Outlook confirms bearish structure Global economic concerns The global economy is encountering substantial difficulties, especially in prominent economies such as China and Europe....

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.17; (P) 146.62; (R1) 148.04; More… As noted before, USD/JPY’s rebound from 141.67 could have completed at 149.35 after rejection by 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41. Intraday bias stays mildly on the downside for retesting 141.67...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8604; (P) 0.8641; (R1) 0.8666; More….. USD/CHF’s break of 0.8616 support should indicate that rebound from 0.8431 has completed at 0.8747, after rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8431 at 0.8734. Intraday bias is back on the downside...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2951; (P) 1.2974; (R1) 1.3013; More… GBP/USD’s rally from 1.2664 continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 1.3043. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 1.2998 to 61.8% projection of 1.2298 to 1.3043 from 1.2664...

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3614; (P) 1.3650; (R1) 1.3670; More… USD/CAD’s fall from 1.3946 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.3588 structural support. Strong support could be seen from there to bring reversal. On the upside, above 1.3684 will...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets Markets took a breather today during the European session. The dollar (DXY) yesterday closed below 102 for the first time since early January and remains stuck there. The greenback even extends losses as US investors enter the market. European stock markets...

Dollar on the Edge – Action Forex

Dollar on the Edge – Action Forex

The US dollar has fallen to its lowest levels of the year, losing more than 2.3% from its August peak and around 4% since early July as expectations of a Fed rate cut in September began to be priced in. The dollar index has retreated to 101.7, reflecting growing...

Canadian Inflation Eases Further Towards BoC’s Target

Canadian Inflation Eases Further Towards BoC’s Target

Headline CPI inflation edged lower in July to 2.5% year-on-year (y/y), right on consensus expectations. This was the lowest reading since March 2021. The deceleration was driven by base year effects (lower price growth relative to last July) for items like travel...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1043; (P) 1.1064; (R1) 1.1107; More….. Intraday bias in EURUSD remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise should target 1.1138 resistance, and then 161.8% projection of 1.0665 to 1.0947 from 1.0776 at 1.1232. On the downside, below 1.1029...

The Sweet Soft-Landing Spot – Action Forex

The Sweet Soft-Landing Spot – Action Forex

The week kicked off on a positive note on expectation that when Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell speaks at the Jackson Hole meeting on Friday, he will deliver a strong hint that the rate cuts will begin soon in the US. How soon ? Probably in September? By how...

A Softer Dollar Remains the Way to Go

A Softer Dollar Remains the Way to Go

Market Commentary Markets Last week’s directional moves on key markets were extended yesterday in absence of any guidance coming from eco data or central bankers. Core bond yields fail to recover from the early August setback with daily changes in the US ranging...

GBPUSD Awaits Strong Resistance Near 1-Year High

GBPUSD Awaits Strong Resistance Near 1-Year High

GBPUSD’s rebound off 200-day SMA still holds Stochastic in overbought area RSI ticks south above 50 level GBPUSD continues last week’s rebound off the 200-day SMA and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 1.2300 to 1.3045 at 1.2670, but with some...

Pound Near July Highs: What Could Trigger a Breakout?

Pound Near July Highs: What Could Trigger a Breakout?

The slowdown in U.S. inflation and a cooling labour market have rekindled investor confidence that the Federal Reserve may soon begin cutting interest rates. As bearish sentiment towards the dollar dominates the market, key currency pairs have approached critical...

As Crypto Market Tests Resistance, Solana Eyes Support

As Crypto Market Tests Resistance, Solana Eyes Support

The cryptocurrency market is once again testing the important $2.15 trillion milestone, adding almost 4% in the last 24 hours. Selling pressure has been building near this level since early August. Now, thanks to the impressive recovery in stock indices,...

Eurozone CPI finalized at 2.6% in Jul, core CPI at 2.9%

Eurozone CPI finalized at 2.6% in Jul, core CPI at 2.9%

Eurozone CPI was finalized at 2.6% yoy in July, up from June’s 2.5% yoy. CPI Core (ex-energy, food, alcohol & tobacco) was finalized at 2.9% yoy, unchanged from June’s reading. The highest contribution to the annual inflation rate came from services (+1.82...

EURJPY’s Rebound Falters Ahead of 200-SMA

EURJPY’s Rebound Falters Ahead of 200-SMA

EURJPY recovers from its 2024 low posted on August 6 But the rebound stumbles before testing 200-day SMA Oscillators are skewed to the downside EURJPY experienced a vast selloff in July, dropping from a 32-year peak of 175.41 to as low as 154.34 on August 6, which is...

FX option expiries for 20 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 20 August 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1100 level. The pair also has a large set of expiries at 1.1000 but that should not factor much into play given the dollar weakness so far this week. As such, the ones...

GBP/USD Mid-Day – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2879; (P) 1.2913; (R1) 1.2979; More… GBP/USD’s rise from 1.2664 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 1.3043 high. Firm break there will resume whole rise from 1.2998 to 61.8% projection of 1.2298 to 1.3043 from...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0942; (P) 1.0980; (R1) 1.1010; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for 100% projection of 1.0665 to 1.0947 from 1.0776 at 1.1058. Decisive break there could prompt upside acceleration through 1.1138 resistance to 161.8%...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8636; (P) 0.8685; (R1) 0.8710; More….. Outlook in USD/CHF remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral for now. On the downside, break of 0.8616 support will indicate rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8431 at 0.8734, and turn bias...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.00; (P) 148.20; (R1) 148.83; More… USD/JPY’s rebound from 141.67 could have completed after rejection by 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41. Intraday bias remains on the downside for retesting 141.67 low. Firm break there will...

New Zealand Dollar Extends Gains as Services Index Rises

New Zealand Dollar Extends Gains as Services Index Rises

The New Zealand dollar wrapped up a fourth consecutive winning week and is in positive territory on Monday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6076, up 0.37% in the European session at the time of writing. New Zealand PSI pace of contraction eases The New Zealand Performance of...

Sunset Market Commentary

Sunset Market Commentary

Markets Markets took a slow start to the new trading week which looks more enticing later on. In the absence of high profile headlines today, softer yields and a weaker dollar initially proved the to be the path of least resistance, even as the momentum of this trade...

BTCUSD Completes Death Cross – Action Forex

BTCUSD Completes Death Cross – Action Forex

BTCUSD trades sideways in the past few sessions Sentiment deteriorates after multiple rejections at 50-day SMA Momentum indicators are skewed to the downside BTCUSD (Bitcoin) has been losing ground in August, experiencing a strong selloff on the back of a downbeat...

Could Eurozone PMI Surveys Cement September ECB Rate Cut?

Could Eurozone PMI Surveys Cement September ECB Rate Cut?

Markets are preparing for the Jackson Hole Symposium Eurozone data supports another ECB rate cut PMI surveys for the euro area will be published on Thursday Euro remains on the back foot against the pound The Jackson Hole gathering to break the summer lull Whilst ECB...

Gold Price Surpasses $2500 for the First Time

Gold Price Surpasses $2500 for the First Time

We noted bullish sentiment in the gold market six days ago: → The price is moving within an ascending channel (shown in blue); → Bulls may attempt to set a historic record amid the release of economic news. As today’s XAU/USD chart shows, the gold price has risen...

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 190.26; (P) 191.19; (R1) 191.99; More… Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 191.99 will target 61.8% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 197.35, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 208.09. On the...

US 500 Index Slips After 10% Recovery

US 500 Index Slips After 10% Recovery

US 500 index rises above long-term uptrend line 200-day SMA still holds well Stochastic and RSI indicate overstretched market The US 500 cash index recovered by almost 10% from the bearish wave that started from the all-time high of 5,673.39 and is currently returning...

Crypto Market Attracts Money, But Prices Don’t Rise

Crypto Market Attracts Money, But Prices Don’t Rise

Market Picture On Monday morning, the crypto market capitalisation stood at $2.07 trillion, up slightly from $2.05 trillion a week earlier. In the previous two weeks, the market failed to rally above the $2.15 trillion level, which has become a local resistance. The...

Gold Surges to Fresh Record High

Gold Surges to Fresh Record High

Gold posts new all-time high on Monday  But oscillators haven’t reached overbought conditions  The divergence suggests that the advance may extend further Gold has been on the rise in the past couple of sessions, storming above the 2,500 psychological mark to a fresh...

FX option expiries for 19 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 19 August 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for AUD/USD at the 0.6675 level. It isn't one that is technically significant but it could anchor gains for a bit before rolling off later in the day. The pair is in a breakout mood amid a...

The Weekly Bottom Line: Inching Towards a Pivot

The Weekly Bottom Line: Inching Towards a Pivot

U.S. Highlights The July report for the Consumer Price Index showed headline inflation fell below 3% for the first time since March 2021. U.S. retail sales surpassed expectations in July, rising 1.0% month-on-month. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks during...

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 0.9209 extended to as high as 0.9579 last week before retreating. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first for some consolidations. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9448 support holds. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 0.9593) will...

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD’s correction from 1.7180 short term top continued last week, but downside is contained above 1.6474 support so far. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further rally is in favor. On the upside, above 1.6745 will argue that the pullback has...

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP’s correction from 0.8624 extended lower last week after interim recovery. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 100% projection of 0.8624 to 0.8530 from 0.8591 at 0.8497, which is close to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8494). Strong support should be seen...

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 154.40 extended to 163.86 last week before forming a temporary top there. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for some consolidations. On the upside, break of 163.86 will target 61.8% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 167.38, as the second...

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 180.00 extended to 191.99 last week before forming a temporary top there. Initial bias this week is turned neutral for consolidations first. Above 191.99 will target 61.8% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 197.35, as the second leg of the...

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD’s rally from 0.6348 extended higher last week and with late break of 0.6642 temporary top, initial bias is back on the upside this week. Further rise should be seen to 0.6798 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.6569 minor support will turn bias to the...

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.8431 extended to 0.8747 last week, but failed to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8431 at 0.8734 and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, sustained break of 0.8734 will extend to 61.8%...

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY’s rebound from 141.67 extended higher last week but failed to break through 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41 and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 146.06 minor support will suggest rejection by...

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD retreated after edging higher to 1.1046 last week but stayed in range above 1.0880 support. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations, and further rally is in favor. On the upside, firm break of 100% projection of 1.0665 to 1.0947 from 1.0776...

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD’s strong rally last week indicates that correction from 1.3043 has completed at 1.2664 already ahead of 1.2612 support. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for retesting 1.3043. Firm break there will resume whole rise from 1.2998 to 61.8% projection...

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD’s fall from 1.3946 short term top extended lower last week, and with the late break of 1.3688 temporary low, initial bias is back on the downside, Deeper decline should be seen to 1.3588 support. On the upside, above 1.3737 minor resistance will turn intraday...

Summary 8/19 – 8/23

Summary 8/19 – 8/23

Monday, Aug 19, 2024 Tuesday, Aug 20, 2024 Wednesday, Aug 21, 2024 Thursday, Aug 22, 2024 Friday, Aug 23, 2024 The post Summary 8/19 – 8/23 appeared first on Action Forex.

Eco Data 8/19/24 – Action Forex

Eco Data 8/19/24 – Action Forex

Eco Data 8/19/24 - Action Forex GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised 22:30 NZD Business NZ PSI Jul 40.2 23:50 JPY Machinery Orders M/M Jun 0.90% -3.20% GMT Ccy Events 22:30 NZD...

USD/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8666; (P) 0.8707; (R1) 0.8768; More…. Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside with focus on 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8431 at 0.8734. Sustained break there will bring stronger rally to 61.8% retracement at 0.8920, even as a...

GBP/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2811; (P) 1.2841; (R1) 1.2884; More… GBP/USD’s rise from 1.2664 resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. As noted before, pullback from 1.3043 could have completed at 1.2664 already. Further rally should be seen...

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.76; (P) 148.58; (R1) 150.09; More… Immediate focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41. Decisive break there will bring stronger rally to 61.8% retracement at 154.19, even as a corrective move. On the downside, break of...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.76; (P) 148.58; (R1) 150.09; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral as it retreated after failing to break through 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41. On the downside, break of 146.06 minor support will suggest rejection...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8666; (P) 0.8707; (R1) 0.8768; More…. Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first as it retreated after hitting 0.8747. On the upside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8431 at 0.8734 will extend the rebound from 0.8431 to...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0942; (P) 1.0980; (R1) 1.1010; More….. EUR/USD is staying in consolidation below 1.1046 and intraday bias remains neutral. Another rally is in favor as long as 1.0880 support holds. Firm break of 100% projection of 1.0665 to 1.0947 from 1.0776 at...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2811; (P) 1.2841; (R1) 1.2884; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for retesting 1.3043 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 1.2998 to 61.8% projection of 1.2298 to 1.3043 from 1.2664 at 1.3124, which is close...

Week Ahead – Jackson Hole and PMIs Enter the Spotlight

Week Ahead – Jackson Hole and PMIs Enter the Spotlight

As recession fears ease, investors lock gaze on Jackson Hole Eurozone and UK PMIs to affect ECB and BoE expectations Canadian inflation could back third consecutive BoC cut Japan’s Nationwide CPI data also on the agenda Jackson Hole to test overly dovish Fed cut bets...

Yen and Swiss Franc Recover as Benchmark Yields Ease

Yen and Swiss Franc Recover as Benchmark Yields Ease

As the US session gets underway, both Yen and Swiss Franc are beginning to recover, aided by the slight pullback in benchmark Treasury yields in the US and Europe. This recovery comes after a tough week for the two safe-haven currencies, which have been the worst...

Euro Edges Higher, US Dollar Under Pressure

Euro Edges Higher, US Dollar Under Pressure

The euro has edged higher on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0994, up 0.21% on the day at the time of writing. The US dollar is under pressure and the euro rose as much as 1.2% this week before paring about half of those gains. On Wednesday,...

New Zealand Dollar Stems Slide

New Zealand Dollar Stems Slide

The New Zealand dollar has rebounded on Friday after a 1.4% slide over the past two days. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6017, up 0.70% in the European session at the time of writing. Solid US numbers raises risk appetite Exactly two weeks ago, a soft employment report out...

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0942; (P) 1.0980; (R1) 1.1010; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and more consolidations would be seen below 1.1046. But another rally is in favor as long as 1.0880 support holds. Firm break of 100% projection of 1.0665 to 1.0947...

USD/JPY Analysis: Rate Surpasses 149 Yen Per Dollar

USD/JPY Analysis: Rate Surpasses 149 Yen Per Dollar

As the USD/JPY chart indicates, the rate has risen approximately 5.4% above the August 5 low. On one hand, the yen’s weakening against the U.S. dollar is partly driven by rumours that the Bank of Japan might intervene not to support the weak yen (as when the rate was...

GBP/USD Extends Gains as Retail Sales Bounce Back

GBP/USD Extends Gains as Retail Sales Bounce Back

The British pound has extended its gains on Friday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2887 in the European session, up 0.31% on the day at the time of writing. It has been a winning week for the pound, which has climbed 1%. UK retail sales jump in July There was more good news...

Strong US Retail Sales Send Yields Soaring

Strong US Retail Sales Send Yields Soaring

In focus today Today we get UK retail sales data for July at 8.00 CET. According to polls from Reuters, analysts expect overall retail sales to grow by 0.5% m/m and retail sales excl. fuels to grow by 0.8% m/m. In the US, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment...

FX option expiries for 16 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 16 August 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the board, as highlighted in bold.And they are both for EUR/USD at the 1.0960 and 1.1000 levels. The latter is the bigger one and arguably of more interest, given similar expiries in the past few days as well. Following the...

Nasdaq 100: Bears May Still Be Lurking Around the Corner

Nasdaq 100: Bears May Still Be Lurking Around the Corner

The market seems to be focused now on growth-related macro data rather than inflation risk. Another softer US retail sales may spark another recession aka hard-landing fear. The rise of the VVIX / VIX ratio may see another potential spike in the VIX. Watch the 19,230...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0981; (P) 1.1014; (R1) 1.1046; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with current steep retreat. Some consolidations would be seen first. But another rally is in favor as long as 1.0880 support holds. Firm break of 100% projection of...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2806; (P) 1.2838; (R1) 1.2857; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with current retreat and some consolidations would be seen below 1.2872 temporary top. But further rise is in favor as long as 1.2754 minor support holds. As noted...

U.S. retail sales starts third quarter on an upbeat note 

U.S. retail sales starts third quarter on an upbeat note 

Retail sales rose 1.0% for the month of July. That was much higher than the consensus forecast calling for a more moderate increase of 0.4%. However, June’s figure was revised downward to -0.2% month/month (previously flat). Trade in the auto sector was up 3.6% m/m,...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8625; (P) 0.8643; (R1) 0.8669; More…. Intraday bias in USD/CHF is back on the upside as rise from 0.8413 resumed by breaking through 0.8710. Focus is now on 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8431 at 0.8734. Sustained break there will bring stronger...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.40; (P) 147.00; (R1) 147.91; More… Immediate focus is now on 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41 as USD/JPY’s rebound from 141.67 extends. Decisive break there will bring stronger rally to 61.8% retracement at 154.19, even as a...

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.02; (P) 161.81; (R1) 163.02; More… EUR/JPY’s break of 38.2% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 162.42 suggests that fall from 175.41 has completed at 154.40. Rise from there is now seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 175.41....

Retail Sales Is Counterprogramming the Job Report

Retail Sales Is Counterprogramming the Job Report

Summary In the month of July retailers saw a sales increase of $6.8 billion, or 25% of the total gain from the prior two years in a single month. While most of that was an autos bounce after an ugly June, gains were broadly based and thus at odds with reports of a...

Fed’s Musalem: Time may be nearing for policy adjustment

Fed’s Musalem: Time may be nearing for policy adjustment

St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem indicated today that the balance of risks between inflation and unemployment has shifted, becoming “more balanced”. Speaking at an event, Musalem expressed increased confidence in the inflation outlook, noting that recent data...

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.05; (P) 188.74; (R1) 189.62; More… GBP/JPY’s break of 38.2% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 190.73 argues that the decline from 208.09 has completed at 180.00 already. Rise from there is now seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern...

Australian Dollar Rises on Strong Job Growth

Australian Dollar Rises on Strong Job Growth

The Australian dollar is in positive territory on Thursday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6607 in the European session, up 0.16% on the day at the time of writing. Earlier, the Aussie rose as high as 0.6633 (0.48%) before retracting. Australian job growth jumps but...

US initial jobless claims fall to 227k, vs exp 239k

US initial jobless claims fall to 227k, vs exp 239k

US initial jobless claims fell -7k to 227k in the week ending August 10, lower than expectation of 239k. Four-week moving average of initial claims fell -4.5k to 236.5k. Continuing claims fell -7k to 1864k in the week ending August 3. Four-week moving average of...

GBP/USD Analysis: Rate Steady After Key Data Releases

GBP/USD Analysis: Rate Steady After Key Data Releases

Yesterday, important U.S. inflation data was released, as reported by ForexFactory: → Core CPI (MoM): actual = 0.2%, forecast = 0.2%; previous = 0.1%; → CPI (YoY): actual = 2.9%, forecast = 3.0%; previous = 3.0%. Today, market participants learned about the change in...

NZD/USD Looking for a Bigger Recovery

NZD/USD Looking for a Bigger Recovery

Looking at the 4-hour time frame of the Kiwi with ticker NZDUSD, we can see a strong rebound after a completed final subwave “v” of C of (C), as Zealand beat jobs data, so seems like a new three-wave A-B-C rally can be in play within higher degree wave (D) that can...

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6596; (P) 1.6648; (R1) 1.6748; More… Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as range trading continues. Outlook stays bullish with 1.6474 support intact. On the upside, above 1.6798 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.7180 resistance first....

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8554; (P) 0.8573; (R1) 0.8605; More…. Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral first with current retreat, and more consolidations could be seen below 0.8624. But outlook stays bullish as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.8382 to 0.8624 at 0.8532...

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.02; (P) 161.81; (R1) 163.02; More… Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral and outlook remains bearish with 38.2% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 162.42 intact. On the downside, below 157.71 minor support will bring retest of 154.40 first....

A New Downturn in the Crypto Market

A New Downturn in the Crypto Market

Market Picture The cryptocurrency market retreated 2.9% over the past 24 hours to $2.08 trillion from levels near $2.15 trillion, which had been resistance for the past ten days. Despite moderate optimism in equities following the inflation data, cryptocurrencies...

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.05; (P) 188.74; (R1) 189.62; More… Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral and outlook remains bearish with 38.2% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 190.73 intact. On the downside, below 186.46 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the...

FX option expiries for 15 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 15 August 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first being for EUR/USD at the 1.1000 mark. That continues from yesterday and there will be large expiries at the figure level in play again tomorrow. As such, the expiries could offer a bit of...

Aussie Rises on Strong Job Growth, But Gains Limited

Aussie Rises on Strong Job Growth, But Gains Limited

Australian Dollar strengthened during Asian session today, buoyed by stronger-than-expected employment growth data. This positive surprise offered some support to Aussie, though gains were limited, failing to push the currency above yesterday’s high. The labor market...

AUD/USD Outlook: Keeps Firm Tone Ahead of US Inflation Data

AUD/USD Outlook: Keeps Firm Tone Ahead of US Inflation Data

AUDUSD remains constructive and consolidating Tuesday’s 0.80% advance, as this morning’s RBNZ rate cut by 25 basis points negatively impacted Aussie dollar, but dips were limited, due to strong near-term bullish sentiment on revived risk appetite. Technical studies...

Ethereum Gently Gaining Momentum – Action Forex

Ethereum Gently Gaining Momentum – Action Forex

Market Picture The cryptocurrency market added 2.2% in the last 24 hours to reach $2.14 trillion, a fresh attempt to climb into the upper half of last month’s trading range from where last week’s sell-off was intensified. Over the past 24 hours, the macroeconomic...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0938; (P) 1.0969; (R1) 1.1024; More….. EUR/USD’s break of 1.1007 confirms resumption of whole rally from 1.0665. Intraday bias is staying on the upside for 100% projection of 1.0665 to 1.0947 from 1.0776 at 1.1058. Decisive break there could...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2792; (P) 1.2833; (R1) 1.2903; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside at this point. Pull back from 1.3043 could have completed at 1.2664 already. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.3043 resistance first. Firm break there will...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8630; (P) 0.8655; (R1) 0.8673; More…. Breach of 0.8631 minor support argues that USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.8431 might have completed at 0.8701 already. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside for retesting 0.8431 low. On the upside, however, firm...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.31; (P) 147.13; (R1) 147.66; More… No change in USD/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. Outlook stays bearish with 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41 intact and intraday bias stays neutral. Below 145.42 minor support will...

GBP/USD Shrugs as UK CPI Rises Less Than Expected

GBP/USD Shrugs as UK CPI Rises Less Than Expected

The British pound is showing limited movement on Wednesday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2844 in the European session, down 0.15% on the day. UK inflation report supports case for September rate cut Headline inflation in the UK rose 2.2% y/y in July, up from 2% in June but...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets July US CPI inflation figures printed very close to consensus. Monthly inflation accelerated both on a headline and on a core level to 0.2% M/M. Details showed food prices rising by 0.2% M/M, energy prices flat, and services (ex. energy) rising by 0.3% M/M....

Is Gold Ready to Sail to All-Time High?

Is Gold Ready to Sail to All-Time High?

Gold moves sideways; faces resistance near 2,473 Technical signals are positive for a continuation to 2,500 ahead of CPI data Gold repeated its July bounce off the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart to re-examine the 2,473 resistance, which...

Muted Reaction to US CPI, Euro Leads While Kiwi Struggles

Muted Reaction to US CPI, Euro Leads While Kiwi Struggles

The market’s initial reaction to US CPI data has been relatively subdued. While both headline and core CPI readings slowed in July, they remain elevated. This ongoing disinflation is a positive sign for the Fed, but the pace is not rapid enough to justify a larger...

US CPI falls to 2.9% yoy in Jul, core CPI down to 3.2% yoy

US CPI falls to 2.9% yoy in Jul, core CPI down to 3.2% yoy

US CPI rose 0.2% mom in July, matched expectations. CPI core (all items less food and energy) rose 0.2% mom, matched expectations. Energy prices were unchanged over the month while food prices increased 0.2% mom. For the 12-month period, CPI slowed from 3.0% yoy to...

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8529; (P) 0.8548; (R1) 0.8564; More…. EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8567 suggests that corrective pullback from 0.8624 has completed at 0.8530, after hitting 38.2% retracement of 0.8382 to 0.8624 at 0.8532. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting...

USD/JPY Sees Retreat Amid US Dollar Weakness

USD/JPY Sees Retreat Amid US Dollar Weakness

USD/JPY has retreated from its peak this week, settling at 146.82. The yen gained some strength as the US dollar weakened following July’s lacklustre US Producer Price Index (PPI) data. This report bolstered market expectations for a potential 50 basis point cut by...

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.79; (P) 161.29; (R1) 161.94; More… Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. Outlook stays bearish with 38.2% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 162.42 intact. On the downside, below 157.71 minor support will bring retest of 154.40...

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 187.81; (P) 188.67; (R1) 189.74; More… Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Outlook remains bearish with 38.2% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 190.73 intact. On the downside, below 186.46 minor support will turn intraday bias...

USDJPY’s Sideways Trading Might End Abruptly

USDJPY’s Sideways Trading Might End Abruptly

USDJPY continues to hover around the 146 area Market participants are preparing for the US CPI release Momentum indicators remain mixed USDJPY continues to trade sideways, hovering around the 146.65-147.71 area for the fifth consecutive session. The bears are holding...

NZDUSD Hits a Wall at 200-Day SMA

NZDUSD Hits a Wall at 200-Day SMA

NZDUSD had been in a recovery mode since early August But 200-day SMA rejects advance after dovish RBNZ meeting Oscillators deteriorate, yet remain neutral-to-positive NZDUSD had been steadily regaining ground since the beginning of the month after finding its footing...

FX option expiries for 14 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 14 August 10am New York cut

There are a couple of expiries to take note of, as highlighted in bold.They are for EUR/USD at the 1.0925 and 1.1035 levels. They former lies near the 200-hour moving average, so there is some technical significance there. However, price action today is largely going...

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.00; (P) 160.98; (R1) 161.92; More… Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook stays bearish with 38.2% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 162.42 intact. On the downside, below 157.71 minor support will bring retest of 154.40 first....

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 186.87; (P) 188.10; (R1) 189.15; More… Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral and outlook remains bearish with 38.2% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 190.73 intact. On the downside, below 184.46 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the...

GBPUSD Battles With 50-day SMA

GBPUSD Battles With 50-day SMA

GBPUSD advances after its bounce off 200-day SMA A potential breach of 50-day SMA could improve outlook Oscillators suggest strengthening positive momentum GBPUSD had been on the rise following its deflection at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on August 8....

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0915; (P) 1.0927; (R1) 1.0944; More….. Immediate focus is on 1.0944 minor resistance in EUR/USD. Firm break there will indicate that pullback from 1.1007 has completed at 1.0880 already. Retest of 1.1007 should be seen first. Further break there...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2743; (P) 1.2769; (R1) 1.2790; More… GBP/USD is still capped below 1.2839 resistance despite today’s rally. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.2664 will resume the fall from 1.3043 to 1.2612 support. Decisive break...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets US producer price inflation rose by 0.1% M/M in July for the headline number and stabilized for the gauge excluding food and energy. Both were below consensus (+0.2% M/M), resulting in sharper-than-expected drops in the Y/Y-figures. Headline PPI printed at...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8623; (P) 0.8667; (R1) 0.8697; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral first. Outlook remains bearish with 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8431 at 0.8734 intact. On the downside, below 0.8631 minor support will bring retest of 0.8431 first....

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.43; (P) 147.32; (R1) 148.11; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral and outlook remains bearish with 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41 intact and intraday bias stays neutral. Below 145.42 minor support will turn bias to the...

Dollar Softens after PPI, Kiwi Strong Ahead of RBNZ

Dollar Softens after PPI, Kiwi Strong Ahead of RBNZ

Dollar weakens broadly in early US session after July’s PPI came in lower than expected, signaling easing in inflationary pressures. This development was well-received by investors, with stock futures ticking up slightly and 10-year Treasury yield dipping in response....

US PPI at 0.1% mom, 2.2% yoy in Jul, below expectations

US PPI at 0.1% mom, 2.2% yoy in Jul, below expectations

US PPI for final demand rose 0.1% mom in July, below expectation of 0.2% mom. PPI goods rose 0.6% while PPI services fell -0.2% mom. PPI less foods, energy, and trade services rose 0.3% mom. For the 12 months ended in July, PPI rose 2.2% yoy, slowed from 2.7% yoy,...

Gold Price Near Historic High Today

Gold Price Near Historic High Today

As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the gold price is near $2,460 today, despite the 8th August candle opening around $2,385. This means that in just over three full trading sessions, the price per ounce has risen by approximately 3.3%. It is now only about 1.6% away from...

Cryptocurrency Rally Loses Momentum – Action Forex

Cryptocurrency Rally Loses Momentum – Action Forex

Market Picture Over the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency market has rallied 1.6% to $2.08 trillion, but in the past few hours, there has been a sell-off from a high of $2.15 – roughly the midpoint of the past 30 days’ range. Although cryptocurrency prices are higher...

Brent Crude Oil Faces Demand Concerns Despite Recent Gains

Brent Crude Oil Faces Demand Concerns Despite Recent Gains

After five consecutive days of upward movement, Brent crude oil is now experiencing a consolidation phase, with prices retreating slightly to 81.80 USD per barrel on Tuesday. Market sentiment is being influenced by renewed concerns over global oil demand, particularly...

German ZEW plummets to 19.2, economy breaking down

German ZEW plummets to 19.2, economy breaking down

Germany’s ZEW Economic Sentiment index took a significant hit in August, falling sharply from 41.8 to 19.2, well below the expected 30.6. This marks the steepest monthly decline since July 2022. Current Situation Index also worsened, dropping from -68.9 to -77.3....

EURUSD Bulls Don’t Want to Give Up

EURUSD Bulls Don’t Want to Give Up

EURUSD maintains sideways move as 1.0940 barrier blocks the way up Technical risk is on the positive side; eyes on 1.0970 too US PPI due at 12:30 GMT; FOMC member Bostic speaks today EURUSD continues to face restrictions near the 1.0940 level and the resistance...

FX option expiries for 13 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 13 August 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first being for EUR/USD at the 1.0900 mark again. So, that will help to keep a floor on price action at least until we get to the US PPI data later in the day.Similarly, the ones for AUD/USD at...

Australian Dollar Gains Ground, Eyes Wage Growth

Australian Dollar Gains Ground, Eyes Wage Growth

The Australian dollar has started the week in positive territory. AUDUSD is trading at 0.6596 in the European session, up 0.41% on the day at the time of writing. Australian dollar recovers as markets stabilize The Australian dollar has quickly recovered from the...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.96; (P) 146.89; (R1) 147.49; More… USD/JPY’s rebound from 141.67 extends higher today but stays below 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41. Intraday bias stays neutral and outlook remains bearish. Below 145.42 minor support will turn...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8632; (P) 0.8652; (R1) 0.8673; More… USD/CHF’s recovery from 0.8431 extends higher today but stays below 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8431 at 0.8734. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is still expected. On the downside, below...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2731; (P) 1.2753; (R1) 1.2779; More… Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias stays neutral. Another fall is in favor as long as 1.2839 resistance holds. Below 1.2664 will target 1.2612 support. Decisive break there should confirm that...

British Pound Calm ahead of UK Jobs Report

British Pound Calm ahead of UK Jobs Report

The British pound is drifting on Monday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2768 early in the North American session, up 0.08% on the day. Wage growth expected to slide The UK releases the employment report for the three months to June and we could see signs of a cooling labour...

New Zealand Dollar Higher, Focus on RBNZ

New Zealand Dollar Higher, Focus on RBNZ

The New Zealand dollar has started the week with gains. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6026 in the North American session, up 0.45% at the time of writing. Will the RBNZ lower rates this week? The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets on Wednesday and it’s a live meeting as the...

Silver Could Be Bottoming – Action Forex

Silver Could Be Bottoming – Action Forex

Silver has been slowing down for the last three months, but drop on 4h time frame is in three waves A-B-C, which indicates for a corrective decline within higher degree wave IV. It’s now potentially finishing final subwave (5) of C at 26,50 – 26,00 strong and key...

US CPI and Retail Sales Data to Test Fed Rate Cut Bets

US CPI and Retail Sales Data to Test Fed Rate Cut Bets

Investors panicked after NFP report But incoming data eased fears and rate cut bets Still, market pricing remains overly dovish Focus turns to US CPI on Wednesday and retail sales on Thursday, at 12:30 GMT Latest data ease recession fears Following the...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0906; (P) 1.0919; (R1) 1.0929; More….. Outlook in EUR/USD is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained well above 1.0776 support. On the upside, above 1.0944 minor resistance...

Hang Seng Index: Medium-Term Bullish Trend Damaged

Hang Seng Index: Medium-Term Bullish Trend Damaged

China’s lacklustre core consumer inflation growth for July suggests the current pace of piecemeal stimulus measures is not sufficient to eradicate deflationary pressures. The “non-abating” deflationary risk scenario pushed the 10-year China sovereign bond yield to a...

OPEC downgrades oil demand growth estimates for 2024

OPEC downgrades oil demand growth estimates for 2024

OPEC downgraded its global oil demand forecast for 2024, now expecting an increase of 2.11 million barrels per day (bpd), slightly lower than the 2.25 million bpd projected last month. The organization also adjusted its demand growth estimate for next year, lowering...

Will RBNZ Start Cutting Rates Sooner Than Later

Will RBNZ Start Cutting Rates Sooner Than Later

RBNZ could keep interest rates steady but signal easing sooner rather than later Economic picture shows signs of stress but no red flags yet NZDUSD approaches 0.6060-0.6080 resistance territory NZ employment data sway rate cut bets Q2 employment data from New Zealand...

NZD/USD Gains Momentum ahead of RBNZ Meeting

NZD/USD Gains Momentum ahead of RBNZ Meeting

The New Zealand dollar is steadily rising against the US dollar, with the NZD/USD pair reaching 0.6014 as of Monday. The financial markets are gearing up for Wednesday’s Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) meeting. Analysts widely anticipate that the RBNZ will maintain...

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.96; (P) 146.89; (R1) 147.49; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral for the moment. While further rally cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41 holds. Below 144.04 minor...

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0906; (P) 1.0919; (R1) 1.0929; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains for the moment. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained well above 1.0776 support. On the upside, above 1.0944 minor resistance will bring...

Back in Business – Action Forex

Back in Business – Action Forex

In focus today Danish CPI is due this morning, and we expect inflation to decline from 1.8% in June to 0.9% in July, as last year’s temporary suspension of the electricity fee exits the inflation measure. In the week ahead, we will watch out particularly for US...

Gold on Track to Revisit All-Time High

Gold on Track to Revisit All-Time High

Gold advances after bouncing off 50-day SMA The bulls eye recent record high as next target Oscillators are cautiously tilted to the upside Gold has been trading back and forth within a range in the past month, unable to adopt a clear directional impetus. In the near...

FX option expiries for 12 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 12 August 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.0900 level. With price action also keeping in between its key hourly moving averages of 1.0890-22 currently, the expiries are likely to help play a role in keeping...

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF rebounded strongly after initial dive to 0.9209 last week. But upside is limited by 0.9476 support turned resistance so far. Near term outlook remains bearish for now. On the downside, break of 0.9354 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for...

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD retreated sharply after initial surge to 1.7180, but downside is held above 1.6474 support so far. Further rise is still expected. On the upside, above 1.6798 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.7180 resistance first. Firm break there will resume larger up...

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP retreated after rising to 0.8624 last week and a short term top could be formed ahead of 0.8643 resistance. Some consolidations could be seen now, with risk of deeper pullback. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.8382 to 0.8624 at 0.8532...

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY rebounded strongly after initial dive to 154.40 last week. While further rise cannot be ruled out, outlook will remain bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 162.42 holds. On the downside, below 157.71 minor support will bring retest of...

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY rebounded after initial dive to 180.00 last week. While further rise cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 190.73 holds. On the downside, below 184.46 minor support will turn intraday bias back to...

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD spiked higher to 1.3946 last week but reversed from there. Yet, downside is contained by 55 D EMA (now at 1.3717) so far. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 1.3790 minor resistance, will retain near...

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD rebounded strongly after initial dive to 0.6348 last week. Initial bias is mildly on the upside this week for further rise. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 0.6614) will target 0.6798 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.6506 minor support will indicate...

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF rebounded after initial fall to 0.8431 last week. While further rise cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8431 at 0.8734 holds. On the downside, below 0.8559 minor support will bring retest of 0.8431 first....

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY rebounded strongly after initial dive to 141.67 last week. While further rally cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 141.67 at 149.41 holds. Below 144.04 minor support will turn bias to the downside for...

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD retreated after initial rise to 1.1007 last week and turned into consolidations. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained well above 1.0776 support. On the upside, above 1.0944 minor...

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD’s decline from 1.3043 extended lower last week but recovered after hitting 1.2664. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further fall is in favor as long as 1.2839 resistance holds. Below 1.2664 will target 1.2612 support. Decisive break there...

The Weekly Bottom Line: Bumps in the Road

The Weekly Bottom Line: Bumps in the Road

U.S. Highlights Inflation and the labor market are cooling off, but the economy has not yet hit a wall. Despite what markets may be fearing. The ISM services survey showed broad based improvements in July, while falling longer term interest rates are easing financial...

Summary 8/12 – 8/16

Summary 8/12 – 8/16

Monday, Aug 12, 2024 Tuesday, Aug 13, 2024 Wednesday, Aug 14, 2024 Thursday, Aug 15, 2024 Friday, Aug 16, 2024 The post Summary 8/12 – 8/16 appeared first on Action Forex.

A Crypto Test for Risk Appetite

A Crypto Test for Risk Appetite

Market Picture Risk appetite played out in the markets on Thursday, adding over 6.4% to the crypto market’s capitalisation in the last 24 hours. The capitalisation peaked at $2.18 trillion in the morning, the highest since last Friday. In just over 24 hours, the price...

Gold Is Back, But Not For Long

Gold Is Back, But Not For Long

Gold has experienced increased volatility over the past seven days, falling 4.4% from Friday’s high to Monday’s low and then rising 2.5% from the low. Much of gold’s recovery on Thursday was in tandem with a massive rally in equities in response to some improvement in...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2693; (P) 1.2722; (R1) 1.2780; More… GBP/USD dips mildly after hitting 55 4H EMA but stays in range above 1.2664. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Another fall is in favor as long as 1.2839 resistance holds. Below 1.2664 will target...

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.96; (P) 146.76; (R1) 148.07; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral at this point. While further rise cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 150.88 resistance holds. On the downside, below 144.04 minor support will bring...

USD/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8593; (P) 0.8634; (R1) 0.8707; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment and further decline is still expected. On the downside, below 0.8559 minor support will bring retest of 0.8431 first. Break there will resume the fall...

Is the US Data that Bad to Justify a Rate Cut?

Is the US Data that Bad to Justify a Rate Cut?

The recent acute market reaction occurred due to increased recession fears Surprise indices point to a more balanced US economic situation Recessions tend to be caused by one-off major events The recent market drop has been attributed to higher chances of a US...

U.S. Inflation Likely Held Steady in July

U.S. Inflation Likely Held Steady in July

All eyes will be on Wednesday’s U.S. inflation print after a larger-than-expected increase in the unemployment rate and softening in the manufacturing sector a week ago heightened concerns that the Federal Reserve may need to respond with more aggressive interest rate...

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0886; (P) 1.0915; (R1) 1.0949; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained well above 1.0776 support. On the upside, above 1.0944 minor resistance will...

Canada’s Job Market Softens Further in July

Canada’s Job Market Softens Further in July

For the second straight month, Canadian employment was essentially unchanged (-2.8k), disappointing expectations for a modest 25k gain. Full-time positions rebounded (+62k), but were offset by sizeable part-time job losses (-64k). The unemployment rate also remained...

Safe-Haven Currencies Edge Higher, But Momentum Weak

Safe-Haven Currencies Edge Higher, But Momentum Weak

As we move into US session, safe-haven currencies like Yen, Swiss Franc, and Dollar are showing modest gains, driven by weaker stock futures and treasury yields. However, momentum behind these currencies remains unconvincing, with trading sluggish across the board....

GBP/USD: Bullish Bias Above Rising Daily Cloud

GBP/USD: Bullish Bias Above Rising Daily Cloud

Cable remains at the front foot and extends recovery on Friday morning, after fresh bulls registered break and close above the top of rising daily cloud. Fading US recession fears and solid Chinese economic data revived risk sentiment while sterling gets support from...

Canadian Dollar Rallies, Jobs Report Looms

Canadian Dollar Rallies, Jobs Report Looms

The Canadian dollar has shined this week, posting gains over the past four days and rising 1%. Will the impressive rally continue? In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3732, unchanged on the day. Canadian job growth expected to rebound Canada wraps...

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.56; (P) 160.23; (R1) 161.48; More… Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Outlook stays bearish with 162.87 resistance intact. On the downside, below 157.71 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Break of 154.40...

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 185.54; (P) 186.71; (R1) 188.93; More… Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral and outlook remains bearish as long as 190.48 resistance holds. On the downside, below 183.10 minor support will bring retest of 180.00 first. Break there will resume the...

USDCAD Bears Take a Break But Are Not Done Yet

USDCAD Bears Take a Break But Are Not Done Yet

USDCAD experiences worst week of the year Selling pressure might persist; eyes on 1.3730 Canadian employment figures due at 12:30 GMT Since reaching a 22-month high of 1.3945, USDCAD has been steadily dropping towards its 50-day SMA at 1.3730, making it the...

GBPJPY Climb Continues – Action Forex

GBPJPY Climb Continues – Action Forex

GBPJPY is edging higher today, recording another green session It remains around 10% below its recent peak Momentum indicators acknowledge this bullish reaction GBPJPY is edging higher again today, recording its third consecutive green candle and recovering by around...

FX option expiries for 9 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 9 August 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first one being for EUR/USD at the 1.0900 mark. That should help to keep a floor on price action in the session ahead, with the pair itself settling just above the figure level following...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0907; (P) 1.0922; (R1) 1.0938; More….. EUR/USD dips mildly in early US session as consolidation from 1.1007 extends. Intraday bias remains neutral first. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained well above 1.0776...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2669; (P) 1.2703; (R1) 1.2726; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.3043 should continue to 1.2612 support. Decisive break there should confirm that rise from 1.2298 has completed, and target this...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8530; (P) 0.8596; (R1) 0.8683; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. While recovery from 0.8431 might extend, further decline is expected with 0.8711 resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.8500 will bring...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.69; (P) 146.30; (R1) 148.31; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. While further rise cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 150.88 resistance holds. On the downside, below 144.04 minor support will...

Aussie Jumps as RBA Says Rates Could Rise

Aussie Jumps as RBA Says Rates Could Rise

The Australian dollar has had a busy week and is showing strong gains on Thursday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6550, up 0.50% at the time of writing. RBA’s Bullock says rate hikes still on table Two days after the Reserve Bank of Australia held...

US initial jobless claims fall to 233k, below exp 245k

US initial jobless claims fall to 233k, below exp 245k

US initial jobless claims fell -17k to 233k in the week ending August 3, lower than expectation of 245k. Four-week moving average of initial claims rose 2.5k to 241k. Continuing claims rose 6k to 1875k in the week ending July 27, highest since November 21, 2021....

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.69; (P) 146.30; (R1) 148.31; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral an further decline is expected with 150.88 resistance intact. On the downside, below 144.04 minor support will bring retest of 141.67 first. Break there will resume the...

Gold (XAU/USD) Recovers Amid Rate Cut Expectations

Gold (XAU/USD) Recovers Amid Rate Cut Expectations

Gold (XAU/USD) prices have rebounded to 2394 USD per troy ounce, paring previous losses as the likelihood of a US Federal Reserve rate cut increases. Market sentiment is increasingly cautious amid recession fears, influencing stock market dynamics and bolstering the...

USD/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8530; (P) 0.8596; (R1) 0.8683; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and further decline is expected with 0.8711 resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.8500 will bring retest of 0.8431 first. Break there will resume the decline from...

GBP/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2669; (P) 1.2703; (R1) 1.2726; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the downside despite some loss of momentum. Fall from 1.3043 should continue to 1.2612 support. Decisive break there should confirm that rise from 1.2298 has completed, and...

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0907; (P) 1.0922; (R1) 1.0938; More….. EUR/USD is extending the consolidation from 1.1007 and intraday bias remains neutral. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained well above 1.0776 support. On the upside, break of...

EUR/USD Outlook: Looks for Clearer Direction Signal

EUR/USD Outlook: Looks for Clearer Direction Signal

EUR/USD edged higher in Asia / early Europe on Thursday, hinting that pullback from Monday’s spike high (1.1009) might be over. Signals of formation of a higher base at 1.0900 zone add to positive near-term outlook, as technical studies on daily chart are...

FX option expiries for 8 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 8 August 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first ones are for EUR/USD, layered at the 1.0900 and 1.0955 levels. They aren't significant from a technical perspective but will likely play a role in holding price action in between the...

USD/JPY Analysis: Rate Stabilizes After Tsunami

USD/JPY Analysis: Rate Stabilizes After Tsunami

Less than a month ago, the rate was above 161 yen per US dollar. This week, it dropped below 142.5 yen (approximately -12%). The strengthening of the Japanese yen was driven by actions from the Bank of Japan and financial authorities: → Intervention to support the yen...

NZ Dollar Surges on Strong Employment Data

NZ Dollar Surges on Strong Employment Data

The New Zealand dollar has soared today. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6018, up an impressive 1.1% at the time of writing. New Zealand job growth surprises on the upside New Zealand’s labour market has been cooling off due to elevated interest rates...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.21; (P) 144.79; (R1) 145.95; More… USD/JPY is staying below 150.88 resistance despite current rebound. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is expected. On the downside, below 144.04 minor support will bring retest of 141.67 first....

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8485; (P) 0.8529; (R1) 0.8556; More… USD/CHF’s recovery from 0.8431 extends higher today but upside is still limited well below 0.8711 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline remains in favor. On the downside, below 0.8500...

Remember Inflation? July CPI Preview

Remember Inflation? July CPI Preview

Summary The July CPI report is likely to further the case that inflation is quieting down even if it has not yet returned all the way back to the Fed’s target. We look for headline CPI to have advanced 0.2% in July, which would keep the year-over-year rate steady at...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2642; (P) 1.2723; (R1) 1.2772; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the downside and fall from 1.3043 should continue to 1.2612 support. Decisive break there should confirm that rise from 1.2298 has completed, and target this support next. For...

Brent Oil Price Analysis: Anticipating a Correction

Brent Oil Price Analysis: Anticipating a Correction

Brent crude oil’s price increased to 76.88 USD per barrel on Wednesday, continuing to rise for the second consecutive session. This rebound helps mitigate previous losses, which were part of a broader market risk aversion phase. Current market dynamics Investor...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0903; (P) 1.0933; (R1) 1.0962; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral and more consolidations would be seen below 1.1007. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained well above 1.0776 support. On the upside,...

BoC Deliberations Awaited as Kiwi Gains, Yen Falls

BoC Deliberations Awaited as Kiwi Gains, Yen Falls

News flow has been slow today, with only second-tier economic data coming out of Europe and no major releases from the US. Some attention is turning towards Canada, where BoC is set to release its summary of deliberations from the July 24 meeting, which resulted in...

NZDUSD Jumps Aggressively Higher – Action Forex

NZDUSD Jumps Aggressively Higher – Action Forex

NZDUSD records a sizeable green candle today Strong reaction following the recent acute correction Momentum indicators are mixed, bearish pressure weakening NZDUSD is edging aggressively higher today, cancelling out a good part of the recent correction that led to a...

AUD/USD: Hawkish RBA and Dovish BoJ Underpin Recovery

AUD/USD: Hawkish RBA and Dovish BoJ Underpin Recovery

AUDUSD recovery from Monday’s spike low (0.6348, the lowest since early Nov 2023) picks up on Wednesday. Hawkish RBA on Tuesday, with policy diverging from other major central banks, fading fears about US recession and the latest dovish shift from BOJ, were the key...

USD/CHF: Can The Dollar Rebound from Its Plunge?

USD/CHF: Can The Dollar Rebound from Its Plunge?

Key Highlights USD/CHF declined heavily below the 0.8700 support and tested 0.8430. A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance at 0.8600 on the 4-hour chart. Bitcoin started a recovery wave from the $48,500 zone. Gold corrected gains and might revisit the...

Bitcoin: From Shock to the Death Cross

Bitcoin: From Shock to the Death Cross

Market picture Crypto market capitalisation is back above $2 trillion, up 1.3% over 24 hours. On Wednesday, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index retreated from extreme fear territory at 17 (the lowest in over two years) to 29. The sharp declines in Bitcoin and Ethereum,...

USDJPY Begins a Healing Process

USDJPY Begins a Healing Process

USDJPY gears up after 7-month low Recent sharp sell-off looks overdone Bulls hope for a close above 146.58 to continue higher USDJPY showed signs of life on Wednesday, forcefully bouncing above the 144.57 bar that had limited Tuesday’s gains following the flash spike...

FX option expiries for 7 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 7 August 10am New York cut

There is one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.However, there is a major caveat attached to it. That considering it is one for USD/JPY and price action there is extremely volatile as we're witnessing a ~350 pips range already so far today. As such,...

USD/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8437; (P) 0.8520; (R1) 0.8606; More… USD/CHF recovered after dipping to 0.8431 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen but upside should be limited by 0.8711 resistance. Below 0.8431 will resume the fall from...

GBP/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2719; (P) 1.2769; (R1) 1.2829; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral as range trading continues. Further decline is in favor with 1.2863 resistance intact. On the downside, below 1.2706 will target 1.2612 support first. Decisive break there...

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.68; (P) 144.17; (R1) 146.64; More… USD/JPY recovered after diving to 141.67 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen but upside should be limited by 150.88 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 141.67...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2719; (P) 1.2769; (R1) 1.2829; More… GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3043 resumed by breaking 1.2706 temporary low and intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.2612 support. Decisive break there should confirm that rise from 1.2298 has completed, and...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.68; (P) 144.17; (R1) 146.64; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 141.67. Upside of recovery should be limited by 150.88 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 141.67 will resume the decline...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8437; (P) 0.8520; (R1) 0.8606; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidations above 0.8431. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.8711 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, below 0.8431 will resume the decline...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0893; (P) 1.0951; (R1) 1.1009; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with break of 1.0932 minor support. Some consolidations would be seen below 1.1007 first. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained well...

Canada’s Trade Position Swings to a Surplus in June

Canada’s Trade Position Swings to a Surplus in June

Canada’s merchandise trade balance moved sharply into surplus territory in June after three months in deficit. June’s surplus registered at $638 million, with last month’s deficit being revised slightly lower to $1.6 billion. Merchandise exports increased by a hefty...

JP 225 Index Tries to Find Footing After 20% Crash

JP 225 Index Tries to Find Footing After 20% Crash

JP 225 index plummets to 10-month low amid global stock meltdown Oversold signals detected; but bulls could show up above 33,585 Japan’s 225 stock index (cash) started the month on the wrong foot, sinking by a massive 21% to a 10-month low of 30,361 in the wake of...

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0893; (P) 1.0951; (R1) 1.1009; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the upside with 1.0932 minor support intact. Current rally is part of the whole rise from 1.0665 and should target 100% projection of 1.0665 to 1.0947 from 1.0776 at 1.1056...

Bitcoin’s Bear Rally?

Bitcoin’s Bear Rally?

Market picture The cryptocurrency market has survived the peak of fear, finding the strength to consolidate during European trading and begin a recovery during active hours in the Americas. As a result, the crypto market capitalisation is up 11.3% in 24 hours to $1.98...

AUD/USD Remains Under Pressure as RBA Holds Rates

AUD/USD Remains Under Pressure as RBA Holds Rates

The Australian dollar gained ground earlier but has reversed directions and has edged lower. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6778, down 0.24% at the time of writing. RBA maintains cash rate at 4.35% The Reserve Bank of Australia held the cash rate at...

AUDUSD Stays in One Piece After Flash Crash

AUDUSD Stays in One Piece After Flash Crash

AUDUSD bounces back from its lowest point in nine months Short-term risk skewed to the upside; close above 0.6500 needed RBA maintains steady policy; pushes back rate cut timing AUDUSD encountered a significant drop to a nine-month low of 0.6346 on Monday, marking its...

RBA on Hold, But Hawkish Amongst Market Whiplash

RBA on Hold, But Hawkish Amongst Market Whiplash

The RBA left rates on hold in August as we expected, but their rhetoric and view of aggregate demand were surprisingly hawkish. Given the Board apparently does not see its way to cutting rates this year, our expectation of a November rate cut is unlikely to be...

NZD/USD Sees Recovery After Hitting Nine-Month Low

NZD/USD Sees Recovery After Hitting Nine-Month Low

The NZD/USD pair has shown signs of recovery, reaching 0.5941 after initially plunging to a nine-month low. This downturn was triggered by concerns over a potential US recession, driven by weak job sector data, which rattled global financial markets. As risk aversion...

FX option expiries for 6 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 6 August 10am New York cut

There aren't any major expiries to take note of on the day. For now, trading sentiment will continue to ride on the emotions and so far today it is one mostly of relief. The global market selloff has abated, at least for the time being, but sentiment is still very...

Eurozone PPI at 0.5% mom, -3.2% yoy in Jun

Eurozone PPI at 0.5% mom, -3.2% yoy in Jun

Eurozone PPI rose 0.5% mom in June, but down -3.2% yoy, comparing to expectation of 0.3% mom, -3.2% yoy. For the month. Industrial producer prices increased by 0.1% for intermediate goods,1.6% for energy, 0.1% for capital goods, and 0.1% for non-durable consumer...

Aussie Slides on Fears Over the US Economy

Aussie Slides on Fears Over the US Economy

The Australian dollar has taken a nasty spill to start off the trading week. AUD/USD dropped as much has 2.5% in the Asian session and fell to its lowest levels since November 2023. The Aussie has pared those losses and is down 0.96% at the time of writing, trading at...

Nikkei 225 Index Has Plummeted to a Nine-Month Low

Nikkei 225 Index Has Plummeted to a Nine-Month Low

As shown by the Nikkei 225 (Japan 225 on FXOpen) chart: → In less than a month, the index price has dropped by more than 25%, providing grounds to suggest the start of a bear market; → The price has approached the psychological level of 30,000 points – the last time...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0820; (P) 1.0873; (R1) 1.0965; More….. EUR/USD’s strong break of 1.0947 resistance confirms resumption of the rise from 1.0665. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 100% projection of 1.0665 to 1.0947 from 1.0776 at 1.1056 next. On the...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2729; (P) 1.2784; (R1) 1.2861; More… Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Further decline is in favor with 1.2863 resistance intact. On the downside, below 1.2706 will target 1.2612 support first....

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8523; (P) 0.8631; (R1) 0.8689; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 0.9223 should target a retest on 0.8332 low. On the upside, above 0.8594 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.40; (P) 147.59; (R1) 148.76; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 161.94 should target 140.25 support next. On the upside, above 146.40 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and...

Fed’s Goolsbee: Jobs data weak, but recession not imminent

Fed’s Goolsbee: Jobs data weak, but recession not imminent

Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee addressed the recent economic concerns in an interview with CNBC, noting that last Friday’s jobs numbers were “weaker than expected” but not yet indicative of a recession. He emphasized the Fed’s commitment to its core...

Rapid Yen Appreciation: Key Factors Boosting JPY

Rapid Yen Appreciation: Key Factors Boosting JPY

The Japanese yen continues its recovery rally. The USDJPY pair falls to 143.38 on Monday. This development is likely only the midpoint of the process as the market regains past losses and brings the JPY to equilibrium. USDJPY is currently at its lowest level since 3...

Crypto Investors Have Lost Their Nerve

Crypto Investors Have Lost Their Nerve

Market picture The cryptocurrency market was hit by a sell-off over the weekend, the likes of which haven’t been seen in a long time. We would not have been surprised to see such a sell-off before the halving due to the last takeout of buyers before the start of...

Could Data Open the Door to RBNZ Cut Next Week?

Could Data Open the Door to RBNZ Cut Next Week?

Market in crisis mode after Friday’s US labour report An RNBZ rate cut could be on the cards if data weakens China’s problems hamper progress in the region Kiwi in desperate need of good data prints Markets in disarray With the market digesting last week’s events,...

Gold Rally in Question – Action Forex

Gold Rally in Question – Action Forex

Gold is lower today, but close to recent highs Geopolitics and dollar underperformance support gold Momentum indicators are tentatively bullish Gold is trading lower again today, recording its third consecutive red candle, but remaining a tad below its recent all-time...

FX option expiries for 5 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 5 August 10am New York cut

There aren't any major expiries to take note of on the day. And in any case, this is a market currently driven by emotions more than anything else. As such, that matters more to price action rather than any specific levels on the charts. That especially if you're...

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF’s decline form 0.9928 resumed last week and accelerated to as low as 0.9352. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 100% projection of 0.9928 to 0.94767 from 0.9772 at 0.9320.Strong support could emerge above 0.9252 low to bring rebound. But near...

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP’s rise from 0.8382 accelerated higher last week and the strong break of 0.8498 resistance argues that fall form 0.8643 has completed with five waves down to 0.8382. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for channel resistance (now at (now at 0.8560)....

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 continued last week accelerated further. This decline is now seen as a larger scale correction. Initial bias remains on the downside for 155.91 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 163.41 minor resistance will turn intraday bias...

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY’s fall from 208.09 continued last week and accelerated further. This decline is as correcting the whole rally from 148.93. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 185.49 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 193.23 minor resistance will turn intraday...

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD’s rise from 1.3176 resumed by breaking through 1.3845 resistance last week. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 61.8% projection of 1.3176 to 1.3845 from 1.3588 at 1.4025 next. For now break of 1.3786 support is needed to indicate short term...

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD edged lower to 0.6479 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week for some more consolidations. But further decline is expected as long as 0.6609 minor resistance holds. Break of 0.6479 will resume the fall from 0.6798 to...

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3043 extended to 1.2706 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further fall is in favor as long as 1.2863 resistance holds. Below 1.2706 will target 1.2612 support first. Decisive break there should confirm...

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 accelerated lower last week and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 140.25 support next. On the upside, above 150.88 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations...

Summary 8/5 – 8/9

Summary 8/5 – 8/9

Monday, Aug 5, 2024 Tuesday, Aug 6, 2024 Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 Thursday, Aug 8, 2024 Friday, Aug 9, 2024 The post Summary 8/5 – 8/9 appeared first on Action Forex.

Market Turmoil Intensifies With Deepening Recession Fears

Market Turmoil Intensifies With Deepening Recession Fears

The financial markets were marked by significant turbulence this last week again, dominated by risk aversion.  Evidence are surfacing that the US economy is heading for a recession, or even hard landing. Speculation is mounting that Fed might be compelled to implement...

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

While the dip to 1.0776 was deeper than expected, EUR/USD’s subsequent strong rebound suggests that pullback from 1.0947 has completed already. Initial bias stays on the upside for retesting 1.0947 first. Firm break there will target 100% projection of 1.0665 to...

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9223 accelerated lower last week and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias remains on the downside this week and deeper decline would be seen to retest 0.8332 low. On the upside, above 0.8662 minor resistance will turn intraday bias...

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD’s rise from 1.5996 extended through 1.6742 resistance last week despite interim pullback. The development strengthens the case that corrective fall from 1.7062 has completed with three waves down to 1.5998. Initial bias is on the upside this week for retesting...

Bitcoin Fends Off Bear Attack, Clinging to Levels

Bitcoin Fends Off Bear Attack, Clinging to Levels

Market picture The crypto market lost 0.75% in 24 hours to $2.29 trillion. A day earlier, we noted a decline in cryptocurrencies in contrast to the positivity in equities on Wednesday, and then synchronised selling prevailed on Thursday. Meanwhile, the sentiment index...

EUR/CHF: Medium-Term Global Risk-Off Kickstarts

EUR/CHF: Medium-Term Global Risk-Off Kickstarts

Further weakness in the US ISM Manufacturing PMI & Employment sub-component increases the risk of a hard landing scenario. A Fed interest rate cut that is implemented late in the US economic cycle where a downturn may be already in motion sees the evaporation of...

The Weekly Bottom Line: It’s A Different World

The Weekly Bottom Line: It’s A Different World

U.S. Highlights Nonfarm payroll gains came in lower than expected in July, with the unemployment rate heading higher. The numbers add to other data suggesting that the U.S. labor market is losing steam. While the Federal Reserve held rates steady at their July meeting...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.42; (P) 151.16; (R1) 152.72; More… USD/JPY’s steep decline from 161.94 reaccelerates to as low as 147.01 so far. There is no sign of bottoming yet and intraday bias stays on the downside. Next target is 140.25 fibonacci level. On the upside,...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8753; (P) 0.8797; (R1) 0.8823; More… USD/CHF’s decline from 0.9223 continues today and break of near term falling channel support indicates downside acceleration. Intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained trading below 61.8% retracement of...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2830; (P) 1.2847; (R1) 1.2873; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral first with current strong recovery. Another fall will remain in favor as long as 1.2863 resistance holds. Below 1.2706 will target 1.2612 support. However, firm break...

Swiss Franc Jumps After Soft US Job Numbers

Swiss Franc Jumps After Soft US Job Numbers

The Swiss franc has posted sharp gains in the North American session on Friday. USD/CHF is currently trading at 0.8754, up 0.86% on the day. The Swiss franc is on a roll and is trading at its highest level since the end of January. Swiss inflation declined 0.2%, in...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets Markets are trembling. US payrolls missed expectations by a significant margin as employment only grew by 114k (175k consensus). Last month’s reading was revised down by about 30k. The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.3%, the highest since Oct 2021,...

July Employment: That Was Sahm Jobs Reports

July Employment: That Was Sahm Jobs Reports

Summary The ongoing deterioration in the jobs market was on full display in the July Employment report. Nonfarm payrolls posted the second smallest gain in 3.5 years with an increase of 114K, average hourly earnings growth eased to 3.6% year-over-year and the...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0802; (P) 1.0826; (R1) 1.0849; More….. EUR/USD’s strong rebound and break of 1.0869 resistance suggests that pullback from 1.0947 has completed as a correction a 1.0776. More importantly, rise from 1.0601 is probably still in progress. Intraday...

USD/JPY – Surging Yen Improves to 15-week High

USD/JPY – Surging Yen Improves to 15-week High

The Japanese yen continues to rally. USD/JPY is trading at 148.86 in the European session, down 0.31% on the day at the time of writing. On Thursday, the yen strengthened as much as 148.50, its best showing since May 11. Yen continues to pummel US dollar Only three...

USD/CHF Falls to Lowest Level in Nearly Six Months

USD/CHF Falls to Lowest Level in Nearly Six Months

As today’s USD/CHF chart shows, the exchange rate has fallen below 0.872 – the Swiss franc hasn’t been this strong against the US dollar since early February this year. Bearish sentiment is driven by: → Expectations of a Fed rate cut, weakening the US dollar; → Low...

WTI Crude Oil Hovers Beneath 200-day SMA

WTI Crude Oil Hovers Beneath 200-day SMA

WTI trades within symmetrical triangle 20- and 50-day SMAs are ready for bearish cross WTI crude oil is moving back and forth from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), with a strong resistance area near the potential bearish crossover between the 20- and 50-day...

USDCAD Hits 8-Month High, But It’s Not a Victory Yet

USDCAD Hits 8-Month High, But It’s Not a Victory Yet

USDCAD marks new higher high after disappointing ISM manufacturing PMI A close above 1.3880-1.3900 is needed to postpone profit-taking US nonfarm payrolls eagerly awaited at 12:30 GMT USDCAD began the month on a positive note, swiftly recovering from its recent...

AUDUSD Declines to Fresh 2-month Low

AUDUSD Declines to Fresh 2-month Low

AUDUSD extends retreat to its lowest since May 1 Oscillators are flagging oversold conditions AUDUSD has been in a steady retreat since July 11, violating both its 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). Although the pair posted a fresh two-month low on...

FX option expiries for 2 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 2 August 10am New York cut

There isn't anything too significant on the board for today but there are some to be wary about. The first one is for USD/CAD at 1.3900, where the expiries are decent in size. It coincides with key resistance around the 2022 and 2023 highs, so the expiries could help...

BTCUSD Retreats from 1-Month High

BTCUSD Retreats from 1-Month High

BTCUSD pulls back after touching the 70,000 mark The bears eye the 50-day SMA as next crucial target Momentum indicators are skewed to the downside BTCUSD (Bitcoin) had a very strong July, with the price reaching the 70,000 psychological mark for the first time in...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2830; (P) 1.2847; (R1) 1.2873; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Fall from 1.3043 is in progress. Decisive break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.2782) will suggest that rise from 1.2298 has completed with three waves up...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0802; (P) 1.0826; (R1) 1.0849; More….. EUR/USD’s fall from 1.0947 resumed by breaking through 1.0797 temporary low and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current development suggest that rebound from 1.0601 has completed with three waves up to...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8753; (P) 0.8797; (R1) 0.8823; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 0.9223 is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long...

The Crypto Market Pulled Back Further into the Range

The Crypto Market Pulled Back Further into the Range

Market picture Cryptocurrencies continued to sag, failing to support gains in the stock market, returning the crypto market cap to $2.30trn levels seen a week ago. The market formed another lower local peak, a sequence that has been in place since March. A move...

Bank of England Joins Central Bank Rate Cut Club

Bank of England Joins Central Bank Rate Cut Club

Summary The Bank of England (BoE) joined the growing group of G10 central banks that have eased monetary policy, by delivering an initial 25 bps policy rate cut to 5.00% at today’s monetary policy announcement. The guidance from the BoE’s announcement was also...

Will US Nonfarm Payrolls Steal The Show This Week?

Will US Nonfarm Payrolls Steal The Show This Week?

US nonfarm payrolls to be released on Friday, 12:30 GMT Analysts estimate softer employment conditions in July Gold might push for an uptrend resumption if jobs data disappoint Will July’s NFP report be a game-changer? Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report will not be the...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets After the Fed’s most clear pivot towards imminent rate cuts yesterday, the Bank of England thought it could do even better. It cut the policy rate by 25 bps to 5% in a 5-4 split vote. For “some” in the group of 5 it was a finely balanced decision – similar to...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.42; (P) 151.16; (R1) 152.72; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Strong support could be seen from 148.66 fibonacci level to bring consolidations. On the upside, above 151.93 support turned resistance will turn...

(BOE) Bank Rate reduced to 5%

(BOE) Bank Rate reduced to 5%

Monetary Policy Summary, August 2024 The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets monetary policy to meet the 2% inflation target, and in a way that helps to sustain growth and employment. The MPC adopts a medium-term and forward-looking approach to determine the monetary...

BoE cuts Bank Rate by 25bps to 5.00% in 5-4 tight vote

BoE cuts Bank Rate by 25bps to 5.00% in 5-4 tight vote

BoE cut the Bank Rate by 25 bps to 5.00% today, in a closely contested 5-4 vote. Governor Andrew Bailey, Deputy Sarah Breeden, new Deputy Clare Lombardelli, known dove Swati Dhingra, and Dave Ramsden voted in favor of the cut. Chief Economist Huw Pill, Megan Greene,...

USD/JPY Falls Below 150 Yen Per Dollar

USD/JPY Falls Below 150 Yen Per Dollar

The yen was last this strong in mid-March this year. News from central banks contributed to the decline in USD/JPY. Yesterday, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to levels not seen in the past 15 years. Conversely, the Fed kept rates unchanged as expected but...

WTT: Top Trade Ideas for August

WTT: Top Trade Ideas for August

For the month of August, I have my eyes set on three pairs for my swing trading opportunities during the course of the month. Asides these three, most of my other trade ideas will be executed on lower timeframes, and with more conservative targets in mind. Do note, as...

GBPJPY Selling Drama Stretches Below 200-EMA

GBPJPY Selling Drama Stretches Below 200-EMA

GBPJPY’s massive sell-off continues, reaches 3-month low Short-term risk bearish but oversold conditions detected BoE policy announcement might influence GBP at 11:30 GMT GBPJPY suffered another bold attack this week, giving back 8% of its value since its peak at a...

FX option expiries for 1 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 1 August 10am New York cut

There is arguably just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.0850 level. That could help to draw in price action with the 200-hour moving average seen nearby at 1.0847 currently. But if anything else, it should keep...

Dollar Steady Following FOMC, BoE Rate Decision Looms

Dollar Steady Following FOMC, BoE Rate Decision Looms

Dollar remained relatively steady following the balanced post-FOMC press conference, with notable exceptions against the stronger yen and Swiss franc. Fed Chair Jerome Powell explicitly mentioned the possibility of a rate cut in September but refrained from making any...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.86; (P) 153.54; (R1) 154.43; More… USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 accelerates lower again to as low as 149.77 so far. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 148.66 fibonacci level, which is close to medium term channel support (now at 148.22)....

(FED) Federal Reserve Issues FOMC Statement

(FED) Federal Reserve Issues FOMC Statement

Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace. Job gains have moderated, and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low. Inflation has eased over the past year but remains somewhat elevated. In recent months, there...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8810; (P) 0.8843; (R1) 0.8860; More… USD/CHF is holding above 0.8776 support despite today’s dip and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidations could still be seen but further decline is expected as long as 0.8923 resistance holds. On the...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets The biggest moves in markets ahead of tonight’s Fed policy meeting happened in the Japanese yen. A not completely expected rate hike to 0.25% by the Bank of Japan this morning, accompanied by a bond taper programme, took some investors off guard. In a hawkish...

GBP/JPY Accelerates Lower After BoJ Rate Hike

GBP/JPY Accelerates Lower After BoJ Rate Hike

GBPJPY extends steep downtrend by dropping 1.7% on Wednesday and on track for the biggest daily drop since 12 July 2023, after BOJ rate hike further boosted yen, while sterling remains deflated by growing expectations that BoE would deliver a 25 basis points rate cut...

Bank of Japan Hikes Rates Further, Slows Bond Buying

Bank of Japan Hikes Rates Further, Slows Bond Buying

Summary The Bank of Japan (BoJ) sprung a mild surprise at today’s announcement, raising its policy rate to around 0.25%, from around 0% to 0.1% previously. The BoJ also said it would reduce the pace of its bond purchases to around ¥3T per month by early 2026. The...

Month-end fix sees euro selling

Month-end fix sees euro selling

A quick round of selling pressure has hit the euro ahead of the month-end London fix.In general, these moves fade after the turn of the hour. This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2815; (P) 1.2841; (R1) 1.2863; More… GBP/USD is losing downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. But further decline is still expected with 1.2936 resistance intact. Decisive break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.2781) will suggest that rise from 1.2298 has...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0797; (P) 1.0816; (R1) 1.0835; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with current recovery. But further decline is expected with 1.0869 resistance intact. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.0815) will argue that whole rebound from...

US stocks open higher ahead of the FOMC rate decision

US stocks open higher ahead of the FOMC rate decision

The major US stock indices are opening higher ahead of the FOMC rate decision at 2 PM ET. The employment cost data came in a little bit weaker than expectations at 0.9% versus 1.0%. The market is shrugging off the so-so earnings from Microsoft although it started is...

USD/JPY Plummets as Bank of Japan Tightens Policy

USD/JPY Plummets as Bank of Japan Tightens Policy

The USD/JPY pair has experienced a sharp decline, currently at 152.79, following decisive monetary policy adjustments by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). In a significant shift, the BoJ raised its interest rate to 0.25% per annum and unveiled plans to scale back monthly bond...

Gold Fights With 2,420 Level Within Ichimoku Cloud

Gold Fights With 2,420 Level Within Ichimoku Cloud

Gold rebounds off 2,370 support Prices penetrate short-term downtrend line But momentum oscillators look overstretched Gold prices have been in a bullish corrective mode during the week, paring/reversing some of its losses from July 24. The price has now surpassed the...

USDJPY’s Decline Faces 200-Day SMA

USDJPY’s Decline Faces 200-Day SMA

USDJPY extends its retreat from recent 38-year high The bears tested 200-day SMA for first time since January 9 Momentum indicators start to warn of oversold conditions USDJPY has been in a steady retreat from its 38-year peak of 161.94, falling to an almost...

NZDUSD Poised for Bullish Rotation

NZDUSD Poised for Bullish Rotation

NZDUSD rotates higher after touching familiar support zone Technical signals increase the odds for upside reversal FOMC policy announcement might affect USD at 18:00 GMT NZDUSD has had a terrible month, but a bullish rotation this week has brought hope that the...

FX option expiries for 31 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 31 July 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.They are for USD/JPY and in a wider range, considering the volatility in the pair as we digest the BOJ decision. There is one at 152.50 which doesn't hold much technical significance. But it could hold...

Spooked Bitcoin – Action Forex

Spooked Bitcoin – Action Forex

Market picture The cryptocurrency market pulled back 3% to a capitalisation of $2.4 trillion, erasing gains for a while due to the Bitcoin conference. For the past week and a half, the market has been predominantly moving in the $2.4-2.5 trillion range. The hesitancy...

USD/JPY – All Eyes on Bank of Japan, Yen Slips

USD/JPY – All Eyes on Bank of Japan, Yen Slips

The Japanese yen has sparkled in the second half of July but has lost steam this week. USD/JPY is trading at 154.88 in the European session, up 0.57% on the day at the time of writing. To hike or not to hike The Bank of Japan meets early Wednesday and the markets...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2816; (P) 1.2852; (R1) 1.2898; More… No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the downside. Decisive break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.2779) will suggest that rise from 1.2298 has completed with three waves up to 1.3043 Deeper fall...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0793; (P) 1.0831; (R1) 1.0860; More….. EUR/USD’s fall from 1.0947 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.0815) will argue that whole rebound from 1.0601 has completed with three waves up to...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8831; (P) 0.8851; (R1) 0.8882; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral and consolidations from 0.8776 could extend. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8923 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8776 will resume the fall from...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.25; (P) 153.80; (R1) 154.58; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral at this point. Further decline is in favor as long as 155.36 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 151.89 resistance turned support will...

Is BoE Really Close to Announcing a Rate Cut?

Is BoE Really Close to Announcing a Rate Cut?

BoE meets on Thursday with a rate cut firmly on the cards Data has been positive but doves in control of the committee Pound could suffer on Thursday but still favoured against the euro Rate announcement at 11.00 GMT with the press conference held 30 minutes later The...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets A slew of European data hit the wires today and after wrapping up this report some more are scheduled for release in the US (JOLTS, consumer confidence). GDP Q2 growth numbers were due in Hungary and the Czech Republic (see below), in core countries including...

Has Rally in GBPCAD Peaked?

Has Rally in GBPCAD Peaked?

GBPCAD stabilizes near 3-year high, at the top of a bullish channel Technical signals flag weaker sessions ahead; bears eye 1.7700 level GBPCAD is in the fifth week of gains, having exponentially risen to 1.7849 last week– the highest level reached since March 2021....

EURJPY Stubbornly Fights for An Upturn

EURJPY Stubbornly Fights for An Upturn

EURJPY remains resilient above pivotal territory Some recovery likely, but short-term risk not bullish yet Eurozone Q2 GDP growth +0.3% q/q vs +0.2% q/q expected EURJPY is making another attempt to pierce through the 168.00 level and the support-turned-resistance...

CADJPY: Trade of the Week

CADJPY: Trade of the Week

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) weakened on Monday as it lagged behind the strengthening US Dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. This week, the CAD is underrepresented on the economic calendar, making it susceptible to broader market movements and central...

Swiss KOF falls to 101, signals moderate growth ahead

Swiss KOF falls to 101, signals moderate growth ahead

Swiss KOF Economic Barometer fell from 102.7 to 101.0 in July, missing the expected 102.6. This drop indicates that the Swiss economy is likely to continue growing at a “rather moderate pace” in the near future, according to KOF. The decline, while not unanimous...

GBPUSD Extends Pullback From 1-Year High

GBPUSD Extends Pullback From 1-Year High

GBPUSD declines steadily from 1-year high The bears eye the 50-day SMA as next target Momentum indicators ease but remain positively tilted GBPUSD had been on the rise following its bounce off the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) in late June. Although the pair...

FX option expiries for 30 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 30 July 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first one being for USD/JPY at the 155.00 mark. It's a key area where offers are also lined up, so the expiries will add to a bit of resistance in preventing any major upside extension in the session...

USD/JPY Looking for Direction – Action Forex

USD/JPY Looking for Direction – Action Forex

The Japanese yen continues to show volatility but has closed right where it started over the past few sessions. USD/JPY is trading at 153.65 in the European session, up 0.04% on the day. The yen is coming off an excellent week, surging 2.3% against the US dollar....

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0843; (P) 1.0855; (R1) 1.0869; More….. EUR/USD’s fall from 1.0947 resumed by breaking 1.0825 temporary low and intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.0815) will argue that whole rebound from 1.0601 has...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2851; (P) 1.2866; (R1) 1.2883; More… GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3043 extends lower today and intraday bias is back on the downside with break of 1.2859 resistance turned support. Decisive break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.2776) will suggest that rise from...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8812; (P) 0.8828; (R1) 0.8853; More… No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral for consolidations above 0.8776 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8923 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8776...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.96; (P) 153.85; (R1) 154.59; More… No change in USD/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral for consolidation above 151.93. Further decline is expected as long as 155.36 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of...

USDJPY Struggles to Reclaim 20-Period SMA

USDJPY Struggles to Reclaim 20-Period SMA

USDJPY caught in a battle to overcome 20-period SMA Near-term momentum is positive but weak Bulls face an uphill struggle to regain control USDJPY has started the week on a somewhat positive note but it’s proving difficult for the bulls to secure the upper hand as a...

Key Euro Area Data Overshadowed by Developments Elsewhere

Key Euro Area Data Overshadowed by Developments Elsewhere

Fed meeting and Middle East developments in the foreground Tuesday’s eurozone GDP figures could produce a surprise Wednesday’s inflation report unlikely to unsettle ECB expectations Euro remains under pressure against the pound Fed meeting overshadows key Euro area...

Will BoJ Raise Rates at this Policy Meeting?

Will BoJ Raise Rates at this Policy Meeting?

BoJ may shake the market with a rate hike The bank plans to unveil a strategy to roughly halve bond Yen recoups some losses with notable bullish correction Decision is due on Wednesday at 03:00 GMT Will BoJ hike rates on Wednesday? At its next meeting, the Bank of...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets Today has mostly been a waiting game in the run-up to an economic calendar that shifts into higher gear starting from tomorrow. The were few to no signs of worry about a potential escalation in the Gaza war after Israel retaliated over the weekend on what it...

Dollar Rally Gains Momentum as European Majors Falter

Dollar Rally Gains Momentum as European Majors Falter

Dollar’s rally is gaining significant traction today, as major European currencies face increasing selling pressure. The break of last week’s lows in both EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs suggests that the greenback’s rise is poised to extend further in the near term....

US 500 Index Bounces Off Long-Term Uptrend Line

US 500 Index Bounces Off Long-Term Uptrend Line

US 500 bearish correction in short-term is not enough for retracement Momentum oscillators turn up The US 500 (cash) index rebounded significantly off the long-term ascending trend line and surpassed beyond the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). The bearish correctio...

News of the Week (July 29— August 2): GBPJPY Review

News of the Week (July 29— August 2): GBPJPY Review

The GBPJPY pair, representing the exchange rate between the British Pound and the Japanese Yen, is a pivotal gauge of economic interactions between the United Kingdom and Japan. The British Pound is influenced by domestic factors such as political stability, financial...

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 196.72; (P) 197.93; (R1) 198.96; More… Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidations above 195.84 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 202.08 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, sustained trading below...

USD/CAD: Bullish Impulse Calling for Breakout

USD/CAD: Bullish Impulse Calling for Breakout

USDCAD is making a pretty strong rise after the Bank of Canada lowered rates by 25 basis points as expected last week. The price is now testing the major trend line resistance of this triangle on the daily chart, and we are wondering if we can see a breakout, which is...

Gold Bounces Off 50-Day SMA

Gold Bounces Off 50-Day SMA

Gold was retreating from its all-time high But the 50-day SMA prevented further declines Despite latest weakness, oscillators remain neutral-to-positive Gold had been in a strong uptrend since late May, which led to a fresh all-time high of 2,483 on July 17. Although...

Will Fed Signal a September Rate Cut?

Will Fed Signal a September Rate Cut?

Fed sees inflation on a path to remain low Investors expect three 25bps rate cuts by January Fed to keep rates untouched, focus on guidance The decision is published on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT Data bolster Fed’s confidence At its latest gathering in June, the FOMC...

AUD/USD Gains Amid Anticipation for Key Economic Data

AUD/USD Gains Amid Anticipation for Key Economic Data

The AUD/USD pair is climbing towards 0.6552 on Monday. The Australian dollar is bouncing back from a 12-week low as investors await Australian inflation data. In the past two weeks, the AUD, in the currency pair with the USD, has fallen more than 3%. This happened...

FX option expiries for 29 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 29 July 10am New York cut

There is arguably just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for USD/JPY at the 154.00 mark. Amid the bigger swings in the past two weeks, the expiry level might be one to watch in terms of keeping a lid on price action in the session...

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast – Action Forex

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast – Action Forex

EUR/USD: Europe is Not Doing Very Well, the US is Not Doing Very Badly The main events in the currency market will unfold in the upcoming week, with meetings scheduled for Wednesday, 31 July, when the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve’s FOMC (Federal Open Market...

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF’s fall from 0.9772 extended to 0.9519 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for consolidations first. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9641 support turned resistance holds. Rebound from 0.9476 should have...

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD’s rise from 1.5996 accelerated to as high as 1.6642 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. Further rally is expected as long as 1.6384 support holds. Corrective fall from 1.7062 should have completed with...

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP’s recovery from 0.8382 extended higher last week but outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8498 resistance holds. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Firm break of 0.8382 will resume larger down trend. In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267...

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 accelerated to as low as 164.81 last week, but recovered ahead of 164.29 resistance turned support. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 169.98 resistance holds. On the...

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY’s fall from 208.09 accelerated to as low as 195.84 last week, but recovered after breaching 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 208.09 at 196.71 briefly. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 202.08...

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD surged to as high as 1.3848 last week and breached 1.3845 high, but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and some more consolidations could be seen. Further rally is expected as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.3755) holds....

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF edged lower to 0.8776 last week but recovered again. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. As long as 0.8923 resistance holds, further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 0.8776 will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8332...

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD gyrated lower last week but failed to break through 1.2859 resistance turned support decisively. Initial bias remains neutral first. Further rally is in favor. Break of 1.3043 will resume the rise from 1.2298. However, firm break of 1.2859 will turn bias to...

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 extended to as low as 151.93 last week, but recovered after breaching 151.98 resistance turned support briefly. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 155.36 support turned...

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD dipped to 1.0825 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and further fall is in favor as long as 1.0896 minor resistance holds. Below 1.0825 will target 55 D EMA (now at 1.0815). Sustained break there will argue...

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.6798 accelerated to as low as 0.6513 last week but recovered after breaching 61.8% retracement of 0.6361 to 0.6798 at 0.6528 briefly. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. Further fall is expected as long as 55 4H EMA (now at...

Summary 7/29 – 8/2

Summary 7/29 – 8/2

Monday, Jul 29, 2024 Tuesday, Jul 30, 2024 Wednesday, Jul 31, 2024 Thursday, Aug 1, 2024 Friday, Aug 2, 2024 The post Summary 7/29 – 8/2 appeared first on Action Forex.

USD/CAD Rally Pauses: Awaiting Next Correction

USD/CAD Rally Pauses: Awaiting Next Correction

The USD/CAD pair ended its continuous upward trend on Friday, 26 June 2024, settling around 1.3813, signalling a potential shift towards correction. The Bank of Canada decided to lower the interest rate from 4.75% p.a. to 4.50% p.a. at its meeting this week. Overall,...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.48; (P) 153.40; (R1) 154.86; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidations continue above 151.93 temporary low. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 155.36 support turned resistance holds. Decisive break of 151.89...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8776; (P) 0.8818; (R1) 0.8858; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery, and some consolidations would be seen above 0.8776 temporary low. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8923 resistance holds. Break of...

Canadian GDP Growth to Slow, U.S. Fed to Stand Pat

Canadian GDP Growth to Slow, U.S. Fed to Stand Pat

The week ahead is a busy one on the data calendar with the release of Canada’s gross domestic product for May and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates on Wednesday, followed by U.S. payroll employment data on Friday. Canadian GDP data should continue...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets Markets finally took a breather this morning after recent sharp risk-off repositioning especially in equities and interest rates. However, it doesn’t feel as if a sharp, sustained countermove is already in store. Initial ‘gains’ in yields, gradually...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2822; (P) 1.2876; (R1) 1.2903; More… No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is expected with 1.2859 resistance turned support intact. Break of 1.3043 will resume the rise from 1.2298. However, firm break of...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0825; (P) 1.0848; (R1) 1.0867; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. Deeper fall is in favor as long as 1.0896 minor resistance holds. Below 1.0825 will target 55 D EMA (now at 1.0813). Sustained break there will argue...

Forex Markets Steady as Traders Shrug US PCE Data

Forex Markets Steady as Traders Shrug US PCE Data

Trading in the forex markets remains subdued today as investors take a breather from a week of high volatility. Most major currency pairs and crosses are trading within yesterday’s ranges, with little reaction to US PCE inflation data. Annual Core PCE rate was...

Performance of Dollar Again Unconvincing, Mixed at Best

Performance of Dollar Again Unconvincing, Mixed at Best

Markets The IT-driven risk-off initially supported a classic safe haven run on core bonds yesterday. German yields at some point lost another 5-7 bps. However, equities gradually found a bottom going in the opening of US markets, looking forward the US data. US Q2 GDP...

GBPJPY Extends Decline to a Fresh 2-month Low

GBPJPY Extends Decline to a Fresh 2-month Low

GBPJPY pulls back from its 16-year peak of 208.10 The pair falls to its lowest level since May 16 RSI and MACD warn of an overstretched retreat GBPJPY has been in a prolonged uptrend since early 2024, posting a 16-year high of 208.10 on July 11. However, the pair has...

USD/JPY Remains Volatile, US PCE Price Index Next

USD/JPY Remains Volatile, US PCE Price Index Next

The Japanese yen has hit the brakes on this week’s impressive rally. USD/JPY is trading at 154.34 in the European session, up 0.30% on the day. On Thursday, the yen climbed as much as 1.3% but gave up all of those gains after the strong US GDP report. Still, the yen...

USDCAD Eases After Aggressive Rally to 1.3845

USDCAD Eases After Aggressive Rally to 1.3845

USDCAD exits from consolidation area Momentum oscillators indicate bearish correction USDCAD rallied towards the 1.3845 high and completed the seventh consecutive green day on Thursday following the bounce off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near 1.3600. The...

Crypto Market Takes a Chance on Recovery

Crypto Market Takes a Chance on Recovery

Market Picture The cryptocurrency market rallied 3.4% overnight to $2.4 trillion, taking advantage of the mixed performance of US indices, with the Russell2000 and Dow Jones up and the Nasdaq100 and S&P500 down. It’s not a full recovery, but it’s the second bounce...

FX option expiries for 26 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 26 July 10am New York cut

There aren't any major expiries to take note of on the day. As such, traders will be left to their own devices again for the most part in the session ahead. USD/JPY volatility will remain a factor, alongside the overall risk mood. The latter is slightly better today...

Calmer Markets Shift Focus to US PCE Inflation Data

Calmer Markets Shift Focus to US PCE Inflation Data

The forex markets have calmed down considerably in Asian session after a week of significant wild ride. Despite the pause, the risk-averse sentiment persists. Yen, which has led the charge this week, is starting to take a breather. It remains the runaway leader,...

GBP/USD Faces Downward Pressure Amid US Dollar Strength

GBP/USD Faces Downward Pressure Amid US Dollar Strength

GBP/USD pair is down to 1.2892 on Thursday. Selling intensified on the 18th of July. Since then, GBP has remained under pressure, although it is making attempts to stabilise. Statistics released earlier showed that UK private sector activity improved in July. PMI data...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.68; (P) 154.33; (R1) 155.56; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral first with current recovery, and some consolidations would be seen above 151.93 temporary low. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 155.36 support turned...

U.S. Economic Resilience on Display in the Second Quarter

U.S. Economic Resilience on Display in the Second Quarter

The U.S. economy surprised to the upside in the second quarter of 2024, expanding by 2.8% quarter-on-quarter (q/q, annualized) against expectations for around 2%. Looking under the hood, consumer spending was slightly stronger than we had forecast, advancing by 2.3%...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8813; (P) 0.8868; (R1) 0.8907; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Fall from 0.9223 is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8923...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2877; (P) 1.2907; (R1) 1.2938; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral first. Further rally is expected with 1.2859 resistance turned support intact. Break of 1.3043 will resume the rise from 1.2298. However, firm break of 1.2859 will turn...

Sunset Market Commentary

Sunset Market Commentary

Markets Risk off quickly spread from the US yesterday to Asian and later European dealings today. Triggered by AI/tech companies on Wall Street yesterday, the equity sell-off broadened in the likes of the EuroStoxx50 amid weaker guidance from consumer staples...

USD/JPY – Yen on a Tear, US GDP Blows Past Forecast

USD/JPY – Yen on a Tear, US GDP Blows Past Forecast

The Japanese yen continues to gain ground against the US dollar. USD/JPY is trading at 153.68 early in the North American session, down 0.14% on the day. Earlier today, USD/JPY fell as low as 151.93 (1.3%), its lowest level since May 3, before paring most of these...

Fed Preview: Opening the Door But Not Pre-committing

Fed Preview: Opening the Door But Not Pre-committing

We expect the Federal Reserve to maintain its monetary policy unchanged next week. Focus will be on upcoming rate cuts, which we expect to begin in September. The two latest CPI prints have built significant confidence in inflation remaining en route to target, but...

What to Expect from Markets in the Run Up to US Elections?

What to Expect from Markets in the Run Up to US Elections?

Presidential race dominates headlines and complicates Fed’s job Equities suffered in the two months leading up to the last six presidential elections Market’s performance in the 2016 pre-election period could be a useful guide Dollar strengthened in 2016 but equities...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0821; (P) 1.0844; (R1) 1.0861; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the downside, and fall from 1.0947 short term top should extend to 55 D EMA (now at 1.0813). Sustained break there will argue that whole rebound from 1.0601 has completed...

Dollar Edges Up After Strong Q2 GDP, Yen Finally Retreats

Dollar Edges Up After Strong Q2 GDP, Yen Finally Retreats

Dollar rises modestly in early US trading following stronger-than-expected Q2 GDP data. The robust performance overshadowed the mixed durable goods orders data, instilling some optimism in the market. Despite this, overall market reactions remain subdued. US futures...

Elliott Wave Analysis: USDCAD Turning Upside from Sideways

Elliott Wave Analysis: USDCAD Turning Upside from Sideways

Hello traders, welcome to a new blog post. Today, we will discuss USDCAD as the pair is set to break out of a range that has lasted over two years. How soon can the breakout happen? In May 2021, USDCAD completed a five-year-long bearish corrective cycle that started...

US initial jobless claims falls to 235k vs exp 238k

US initial jobless claims falls to 235k vs exp 238k

US initial jobless claims fell -10k to 235k in the week ending July 20, slightly below expectation of 238k. Four-week moving average of initial claims was relatively unchanged at 236k. Continuing claims fell -9k to 1851k in the week ending July 13. Four-week moving...

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.68; (P) 154.33; (R1) 155.56; More… USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 continues today and there is no sign of bottoming. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 151.89 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will argue that large scale...

USD/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8813; (P) 0.8868; (R1) 0.8907; More… USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9223 resumed by breaking 0.8819 support. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8923...

GBP/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2877; (P) 1.2907; (R1) 1.2938; More… No change in GBP/USD’s as range trading continues. Intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected with 1.2859 resistance turned support intact. Break of 1.3043 will resume the rise from 1.2298 and...

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0821; (P) 1.0844; (R1) 1.0861; More….. Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays mildly on the downside for the moment. Fall from 1.0947 short term top should extend to 55 D EMA (now at 1.0813). Sustained break there will argue that whole rebound from 1.0601...

German Ifo falls to 87, economy stuck in crisis

German Ifo falls to 87, economy stuck in crisis

Germany’s Ifo Business Climate Index fell from 88.6 to 87.0 in July, missing expectations of 89.0. Current Assessment Index also dropped from 88.3 to 87.1, below the anticipated 88.5. Additionally, Expectations Index declined from 88.8 to 86.9, underperforming the...

WTI Crude Oil Creates Bearish Wave

WTI Crude Oil Creates Bearish Wave

WTI crude oil tests 77.70 support Price holds beneath SMAs RSI and MACD indicate more losses WTI crude oil futures have been in a bearish movement after the pullback off the 84.70 resistance level. It has since slipped below the simple moving averages (SMAs) in the...

FX option expiries for 25 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 25 July 10am New York cut

There aren't any major expiries to take note of on the day. As such, trading sentiment will continue to revolve around the same factors driving price action in the last few days.That being bids into the Japanese yen and selling in the commodity currencies amid a more...

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 168.13; (P) 169.61; (R1) 170.38; More… EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 accelerates lower today and it’s now pressing 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 175.41 at 166.90. Some support could be seen from this fibonacci level, and break of 169.19 minor...

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9665; (P) 0.9678; (R1) 0.9688; More…. EUR/CHF’s fall from 0.9772 resumed by breaking through 0.9641 support and intraday bias is back on the downside. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.9476 to 0.9772 at 0.9589. Sustained break there will...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.06; (P) 156.08; (R1) 156.60; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside with focus on 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to 161.94 at 153.65. Some support could be seen there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. But risk will stay...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8891; (P) 0.8908; (R1) 0.8930; More… USD/CHF’s sharp decline suggests that recovery from 0.8819 has completed at 0.8923, after rejection by 55 4H EMA. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.8819. Firm break there will resume whole fall from...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2884; (P) 1.2911; (R1) 1.2935; More… Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is expected for with 1.2859 resistance turned support intact. Break of 1.3043 will resume the rise from 1.2298 and target 100%...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0832; (P) 1.0865; (R1) 1.0885; More….. No change in EUR/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the downside. Fall from 1.0947 short term top should extend to 55 D EMA (now at 1.0813). Sustained break there will argue that whole rebound from...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets Monthly PMI’s were the headline story on global markets. EMU surveys at least were no happy reading. The composite EMU HCOB PMI declined from 50.9 to 50.1 suggesting an near standstill in activity. The decline was mainly driven by a deepening contraction in...

EUR/USD Pares Losses After Weak Eurozone PMIs

EUR/USD Pares Losses After Weak Eurozone PMIs

The euro edged lower on Wednesday but has recovered. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0860, up 0.07% on the day at the time of writing. Eurozone PMIs weaker than expected Eurozone PMIs can be viewed as monthly report cards for the services and...

Bank of Canada Cuts Policy Rate to 4.5%

Bank of Canada Cuts Policy Rate to 4.5%

The Bank of Canada cut the overnight rate to 4.50% (from 4.75%), while stating that it will continue with Quantitative Tightening (QT). The Bank outlined a relatively dovish take on the economy, stating that “…the economy’s potential output is still growing faster...

BoC cuts rate to 4.50%, downgrades 2024 GDP forecasts

BoC cuts rate to 4.50%, downgrades 2024 GDP forecasts

BoC cuts overnight rate by 25bps to 4.50% as widely expected. The Governing Council is carefully assessing the “opposing forces” on inflation, where excess supply is lowering inflationary pressures, but shelter and some services are holding inflation up. Future...

US goods exports rises 5.7% yoy, imports rises 6.9% yoy

US goods exports rises 5.7% yoy, imports rises 6.9% yoy

US goods exports rose 5.7% yoy to 172.32B in June. Goods imports rose 6.9% yoy to USD 269.16B. Trade balance reported USD -96.84B, versus expectation of USD -98.0B. Wholesale inventories rose 0.2% mom to USD 903.3B. Retail inventories rose 0.7% mom to USD 802.1B. Full...

ETHUSD Trades Flat After ETF Debut

ETHUSD Trades Flat After ETF Debut

ETHUSD has been rangebound in the past few sessions Spot ETF launch did not trigger much volatility Momentum indicators remain positively tilted ETHUSD (Ethereum) has experienced a strong rally in July, breaking above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). However,...

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 168.13; (P) 169.61; (R1) 170.38; More… EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 resumed after brief consolidations and dives to as low as 167.42 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 175.41 at 166.90. Some support could...

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 199.97; (P) 201.57; (R1) 202.38; More… GBP/JPY’s fall from 208.09 accelerates to as low as 198.95 so far, breaking through 55 D EMA. Intraday bias stays on the downside for for 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 208.09 at 196.71 next. For now, risk will...

NZDUSD Plunges to New Multi-Week Low

NZDUSD Plunges to New Multi-Week Low

NZDUSD dives almost 4% from the July high of 0.6150 Price may rebound off 0.5875 20- and 200-day SMAs record a bearish cross Momentum oscillators indicate upside correction NZDUSD has been creating an aggressive bearish rally since the break beneath the short-term...

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9665; (P) 0.9678; (R1) 0.9688; More…. Immediate focus is now on 0.9641 temporary low in EUR/CHF. Firm break there and sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9476 to 0.9772 at 0.9659 will extend the fall from 0.9772 to 61.8% retracement at...

FX option expiries for 24 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 24 July 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.However, they may not feature too much into play given the state of play in major currencies this week.The first one being for USD/JPY at the 155.00 mark but the pair is feeling rather heavy already in the...

Crypto: Tactical Retreat from the Peak

Crypto: Tactical Retreat from the Peak

Market picture The cryptocurrency market lost 2% of its capitalisation in 24 hours to $2.41 trillion. However, this is a pullback from a high base. This tug-of-war between bulls and bears points to the importance of the current situation. Bitcoin and Ethereum are...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0875; (P) 1.0889; (R1) 1.0905; More….. EUR/USD’s break of 1.0871 support suggests that a short term top was already formed at 1.0947, on bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 1.0810)....

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2912; (P) 1.2927; (R1) 1.2949; More… GBP/USD is still holding above 1.2859 resistance turned support and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected for now. Break of 1.3043 will resume the rise from 1.2298 and target 100% projection...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8878; (P) 0.8890; (R1) 0.8909; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF is back on the upside with break of 0.8914 support turned resistance. Further rally should be seen to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8967) and possibly above. But still, break of 0.9049 resistance...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.37; (P) 156.99; (R1) 157.69; More… No change in USD/JPY’s outlook as range trading continues. Intraday bias stays neutral and further decline is expected with 158.85 resistance intact. Below 155.36 will target 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to...

Dollar Bears Paused, Breaking the Uptrend

Dollar Bears Paused, Breaking the Uptrend

Last week, the dollar index regained some of its losses from the previous four weeks, but technically, it looks like short-term profit-taking by sellers before a new downward momentum. The US dollar has been under pressure since late June as the Fed noted progress in...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets Another empty daily calendar left investors to their own devices with central bank meetings in Hungary (-25 bps to 6.75%, as expected) and Turkey (unchanged at 50%, cfr. infra) offering some distraction in non-core areas. That resulted in core bonds gaining...

Yen Holds Strong While Dollar Begins to Flex Its Muscles

Yen Holds Strong While Dollar Begins to Flex Its Muscles

Japanese Yen continues to stand out as the strongest currency, in another day with a lackluster economic calendar. However, it’s Dollar that’s capturing market interest as markets enter into US session, where it has shown notable gains against major counterparts like...

EUR and GBP Retreat from Key Levels

EUR and GBP Retreat from Key Levels

Financial and currency markets are experiencing one shock after another. The steady decline in US inflation, a potential Fed rate cut, and the current US president’s exit from the election race have led to sharp fluctuations in almost all currency pairs. Last week:...

USD/JPY: Bears Retest Key Near-Term Support

USD/JPY: Bears Retest Key Near-Term Support

USDJPY fell 0.7% in Asia on Tuesday after comments from Japanese official added pressure on the central bank for more rate hikes to further boost strengthening yen. The latest comments further improved yen’s sentiment, though most analysts expect BoJ to keep rates...

EURJPY Extends Pullback from 32-year High

EURJPY Extends Pullback from 32-year High

EURJPY jumped to its highest since January 1992 on July 11 But is trending lower since then due to Japanese intervention Oscillators deteriorate significantly, suggesting bearish bias EURJPY has been in an uptrend since the beginning of the year, storming to a fresh...

GBPUSD Holds Well Below the 1-year High

GBPUSD Holds Well Below the 1-year High

GBPUSD eases but remains above uptrend line Stochastics and RSI suggest more losses GBPUSD is retreating after a strong rally towards the one-year high of 1.3045. The technical oscillators also confirm the bearish retracement. The stochastic is diving into oversold...

AUDUSD Tumbles Below Key 0.6690 Zone

AUDUSD Tumbles Below Key 0.6690 Zone

AUDUSD falls back within a range RSI and MACD support further declines Dip below 0.6575 could carry larger bearish implications Rebound above 0.6690 may invite more bulls. AUDUSD has been trading in a free-fall mode since July 15, while yesterday, the bears cleared...

FX option expiries for 23 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 23 July 10am New York cut

There aren't any major expiries to take note of for the day. As such, trading sentiment might be more muted in the European session as we await US markets to open again later. In that lieu, even then equities and the broader risk mood might be more cautious today...

News of the Week (July 22—26): USDCNH Review

News of the Week (July 22—26): USDCNH Review

The USDCNH pair represents the exchange rate between the US dollar and the Chinese yuan. Factors influencing the US dollar include Federal Reserve policies, inflation rates, and the overall health of the US economy. In contrast, the Chinese yuan is affected by China’s...

AUD/USD Mid-Day Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD Mid-Day Report – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6672; (P) 0.6693; (R1) 0.6707; More... AUD/USD’s fall from 0.6798 accelerates lower today and intraday bias stays on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.6361 to 0.6798 at 0.6631. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound, and break...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.02; (P) 157.38; (R1) 157.78; More… USD/JPY is staying in range above 155.36 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is expected with 158.85 resistance intact. Below 155.36 will target 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8867; (P) 0.8884; (R1) 0.8908; More… USD/CHF is staying in range above 0.8819 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is in favor as long as 0.8914 support turned resistance holds. Break of 0.8819 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.8332...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2886; (P) 1.2930; (R1) 1.2958; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.3043. Downside of consolidations should be contained by 1.2859 resistance turned support to bring another rally. Break of 1.3043 will resume...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets Biden’s dropout from the presidential race grabbed most of the headlines today, if only because there was basically no other news to report. He and many other Democrats have endorsed the current runner-up Kamala Harris as the new nominee. What that means for...

BoC to Cut Rates Again, What’s Next?

BoC to Cut Rates Again, What’s Next?

Bank of Canada to slash rates by 25bps for the second time in a row More easing expected, but policymakers might signal a data-dependent approach USDCAD tests key resistance of 1.3740; key support at 1.3620 Investors are confident that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will...

July Flashlight for the FOMC Blackout Period

July Flashlight for the FOMC Blackout Period

Summary Congress has given the Federal Reserve a dual mandate of “maximum employment” and “price stability.” With inflation surging to a 40-year high in 2022, the FOMC largely has focused on its “price stability” mandate in recent years. However, inflation is showing...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0870; (P) 1.0889; (R1) 1.0903; More…. EUR/USD is staying in range below 1.0947 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is in favor as long as 1.0871 minor support holds. Break of 1.0947 will target 100% projection of 1.0601 to 1.0915 from...

Aussie’s Selloff Deepens as Copper Prices Plunge

Aussie’s Selloff Deepens as Copper Prices Plunge

Australian Dollar continues to lead the decline among commodity currencies today, with the selloff appearing to accelerate. Despite stabilization in risk sentiment in Europe where major indexes are trading positively, and US futures, particularly NASDAQ, pointing to a...

EURCHF Hovers Around 38.2% Fibo

EURCHF Hovers Around 38.2% Fibo

EURCHF spikes lower following rejection at 23.6% Fibo Price trades sideways after break below 50-day SMA Momentum indicators are neutral-to-negative EURCHF has been staging a solid recovery since mid-June, advancing to its highest level in more than a month last...

Australian Dollar Falls to 3-Week Low

Australian Dollar Falls to 3-Week Low

The Australian dollar is coming off a rough week with losses of 1.45% and the downtrend has continued on Monday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6664 in the European session, down 0.30% on the day at the time of writing. The Aussie climbed 1.9% in the first two weeks of July...

Crypto Rests After Another Rise

Crypto Rests After Another Rise

Market picture The cryptocurrency market is near 6-week highs, with capitalisation near $2.44 trillion, adding 0.5% in the last 24 hours. A wait-and-see attitude and some profit-taking replaced active buying in the last three days starting Friday. Judging by the...

USD/JPY: Another Potential Relief Rally Leg Looms for JPY

USD/JPY: Another Potential Relief Rally Leg Looms for JPY

A potential uptick in Japan’s core-core CPI led by PPI may increase the odds of a BoJ’s interest rate hike in September. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump’s betting odds have slipped after US President Biden decided to bow out of the US Presidential...

Gold Declines Sharply from All-time High

Gold Declines Sharply from All-time High

Gold jumped to its highest level ever on July 17 But reversed lower due to reaching overbought conditions Despite latest weakness, oscillators remain positively tilted Gold had been in a steady uptrend since late May, which led to a fresh all-time high of 2,483 last...

FX option expiries for 22 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 22 July 10am New York cut

There are a couple of large ones in the likes of EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and USD/CAD. However, they are all unlikely to feature as they are quite a distance away from the spot price currently. As such, the expiries should have no impact on price action with the focus to...

US Will Reveal Its Latest GDP Update

US Will Reveal Its Latest GDP Update

Joe Biden threw in the towel and announced that he quits the presidential race this weekend. He endorsed Vice President Kamara Harris to take his place. Harris said that she will do anything in her power to beat Trump, she got the support from Bill and Hillary Clinton...

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF reversed after edging higher to 0.9772 but recovered after breaching 38.2% retracement of 0.9476 to 0.9772 at 0.9659. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. Strong bounce from current level will maintain near term bullishness. Break of 0.9972 will...

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD’s rebound from 1.5996 extended higher last week and broke through 55 D EMA (now at 1.6216). The development is taken as the first sign that whole correction from 1.0762 has completed with three waves down to 1.6000 fibonacci support. Further rise is expected...

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP recovered after edging lower to 0.8382 last week. With break of 55 4H EMA (now at 0.8421), initial bias is mildly on the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8477). Nevertheless, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8498 resistance holds, and...

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 short term top extended lower last week but recovered after hitting 169.98. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further fall is in favor as long as 172.91 resistance holds. Below 169.98 will target 38.2% retracement of 153.15...

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY’s pullback from 208.09 extended lower last week but recovered after hitting 202.08. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further fall is in favor as long as 205.77 resistance holds. This decline from 208.09 might be correcting the whole rise from...

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD’s strong rally last week suggests that consolidative pattern from 1.3845 has completed with three waves to 1.3588, after being supported by 38.2% retracement of 1.3716 to 1.3845 at 1.3589 Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 1.3790 resistance first....

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.6798 short term top extended lower last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 38.2% retracement of 0.6361 to 0.6798 at 0.6631. Strong rebound would be seen there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.6754 minor resistance will...

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF dipped to 0.8819 last week as fall from 0.9223 tried to resumed, but recovered since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further decline is in favor as long as 0.8914 support turned resistance holds. Break of 0.8819 will target 61.8%...

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD edged higher to 1.3043 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations first. Downside should be contained by 1.2859 resistance turned support to bring another rally. Break of 1.3043 will resume the rise from...

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY’s correction from 161.94 extended to 155.36 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further fall is expected with 158.85 resistance intact. Below 155.36 will target 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to 161.94 at 153.65. On the...

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD edged higher to 1.0947 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further rise is in favor as long as 1.0871 minor support holds. Break of 1.0947 will target 100% projection of 1.0601 to 1.0915 from 1.0665 at 1.0979....

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast – Action Forex

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast – Action Forex

EUR/USD: FOMC – Are Surprises Expected on 31 July? This review will begin somewhat unusually, not from the start, but from the end of the past work week. On the evening of 18 July and the morning of the 19th, system administrators and users encountered non-functional...

The Weekly Bottom Line: Nearing the Pivot Point

The Weekly Bottom Line: Nearing the Pivot Point

U.S. Highlights After an eerily calm few months, a fresh dose of volatility descended across global financial markets this week. Top Fed officials speaking this week noted that they are getting ‘closer’ to cutting interest rates. Financial markets have fully priced...

Summary 7/22 – 7/26

Summary 7/22 – 7/26

Monday, Jul 22, 2024 Tuesday, Jul 23, 2024 Wednesday, Jul 24, 2024 Thursday, Jul 25, 2024 Friday, Jul 26, 2024 The post Summary 7/22 – 7/26 appeared first on Action Forex.

US Dollar Index Outlook: Risk Aversion Lifts the Dollar

US Dollar Index Outlook: Risk Aversion Lifts the Dollar

The dollar index extends recovery into second straight day, with strong bounce from new four-month low (103.31) on Thursday, being fueled by fresh risk aversion on global cyber outage, which hit financial centers, banks, airlines and many others, prompting investors...

EUR/USD Experiences Sharp Decline: Risk Appetite Heightens

EUR/USD Experiences Sharp Decline: Risk Appetite Heightens

The EUR/USD pair fell sharply to 1.0888, with investors speculating on the future of US interest rates and the potential implications of the upcoming presidential election, particularly as Donald Trump’s chances appear to be improving. These factors contribute to a...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0879; (P) 1.0911; (R1) 1.0928; More…. EUR/USD is still holding above 1.0871 support and intraday bias stays neutral. Further remains mildly in favor. Break of 1.0947 will resume the rise from 1.0601 and target target 100% projection of 1.0601 to...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2915; (P) 1.2968; (R1) 1.2997; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. Pullback from 1.3043 could extend lower but downside should be contained by 1.2859 resistance turned support to bring another rally. Above 1.3043 will...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets One of the biggest-ever IT outages sparked volatility at the start of European trading but without lasting impact on general markets. A security update by CrowdStrike caused a global problem with Microsoft’s Windows. UK retail sales also printed at the onset...

AUD/USD: On Track for Biggest Weekly Drop Since Mid-April

AUD/USD: On Track for Biggest Weekly Drop Since Mid-April

Australian dollar continues to trend lower vs its US counterpart for the fifth consecutive day, on track for the biggest weekly loss since the second week of April. Bears have so far retraced 50% of 0.6575/0.6798 upleg and look for daily close below daily Kijun-sen...

Gold: Reversal or Typical Retreat?

Gold: Reversal or Typical Retreat?

Gold made an impressive 3% surge during the week, breaking May’s all-time highs. However, it then retreated to the downside, selling off throughout the second half of the week. What should you watch out for to see if this is a reversal? Pullbacks after making new...

Week Ahead – Flash PMIs, US GDP and BoC Decision on Tap

Week Ahead – Flash PMIs, US GDP and BoC Decision on Tap

US data awaited amid overly dovish Fed rate cut bets July PMIs to reveal how economies entered H2 BoC decides on monetary policy, may cut rates again Will investors add to their Fed rate cut bets? With investors ramping up their Fed rate cut bets, the US dollar...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8839; (P) 0.8859; (R1) 0.8898; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidations above 0.8819 temporary low. But further decline is expected as long as 0.9049 resistance holds. Break of 0.8819 will resume the fall from 0.9223 to...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.29; (P) 156.95; (R1) 157.84; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. Deeper decline is still expected as long as 158.85 resistance holds. Below 155.36 will extend the fall from 161.94, as a correction to rally from 140.25,...

Dollar Gains on Risk Aversion Amid Quiet Trading

Dollar Gains on Risk Aversion Amid Quiet Trading

Risk aversion continues to support Dollar in relatively quiet trading today. Both Sterling and Canadian Dollar weakened mildly after worse-than-expected retail sales data. Euro shrugged off dovish comments from some ECB officials. Meanwhile, Yen softened slightly...

Silver Sinks Below 30 – Action Forex

Silver Sinks Below 30 – Action Forex

Silver erases June’s gains; eyes on 28.50 Technical signals favor the bears Silver’s performance took a hit, marking its worst week in 2024 as the US dollar switched to recovery mode and investors questioned China’s economic outlook. As a result, the metal swiftly...

Canadian Dollar Eyes Retail Sales Ahead of Rate Meeting

Canadian Dollar Eyes Retail Sales Ahead of Rate Meeting

The Canadian dollar is calm on Friday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3717, up 0.08% on the day at the time of writing. We could see stronger movement in the North American session, with the release of Canadian retail sales. Will retail sales suffer...

GBPJPY Retraces Lower After Hitting 16-year High

GBPJPY Retraces Lower After Hitting 16-year High

GBPJPY pulls back from its highest level since August 2008 RSI and MACD ease but remain in positive territories GBPJPY has been in a prolonged uptrend since early 2024, posting a 16-year high of 208.10 on July 11. However, the pair has been undergoing a pullback since...

USDCAD Advances Within Trading Range

USDCAD Advances Within Trading Range

USDCAD bounces off 1.3600 and 200-day SMA Momentum oscillators suggest more gains USDCAD has been still developing within a trading range of 1.3600 and 1.3790 since April 17, with strong support at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The recent rebound from...

FX option expiries for 19 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 19 July 10am New York cut

There aren't any major expiries to take note of on the day. As such, trading sentiment will rely on the same key drivers from the day before mostly. The dollar saw recovery flows yesterday with yields pushing higher, so that will remain in contention in the session...

(ECB) Monetary policy decisions – Action Forex

(ECB) Monetary policy decisions – Action Forex

18 July 2024 The Governing Council today decided to keep the three key ECB interest rates unchanged. The incoming information broadly supports the Governing Council’s previous assessment of the medium-term inflation outlook. While some measures of underlying inflation...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0907; (P) 1.0928; (R1) 1.0960; More…. Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral first with current retreat. Some consolidations would be seen below 1.0947 temporary top. But downside should be contained by 1.0871 support to bring another rally....

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2968; (P) 1.3006; (R1) 1.3048; More… A temporary top should be formed at 1.3043 as GBP/USD retreated after hitting rising channel resistance. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations first. Downside should be contained by 1.2859...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8790; (P) 0.8871; (R1) 0.8915; More… USD/CHF’s decline is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Fall from 0.9223 should target 60% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672 next. On the upside, above 0.8884 minor resistance...

EUR/USD – Slightly Lower as ECB Holds Interest Rates

EUR/USD – Slightly Lower as ECB Holds Interest Rates

The euro has edged lower on Thursday. Early in the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0919, down 0.18% on the day. The euro hasn’t posted a losing day since July 9, gaining 1% during that period. ECB maintains rates at 3.75% The European Central Bank...

EUR/USD Outlook: Dips from New High Following ECB Decision

EUR/USD Outlook: Dips from New High Following ECB Decision

EURUSD eases further from new multi-week high (1.0948) as markets digested ECB’s decision to stay on hold and repeat its mantra that future action will be dependent on incoming economic data. On the other hand, confidence that the ECB will deliver two more rate cuts...

UK Jobs Data Cooled the Pound

UK Jobs Data Cooled the Pound

The UK labour market is experiencing a cooling phase. The number of applications for unemployment benefits in June increased by 32.3K after a jump of 51.9K a month earlier. Prior to that, this indicator had been drifting for almost two years, adding an average of 2.5K...

JPY Technical Outlook: Price Action on USD/JPY, GBP/JPY

JPY Technical Outlook: Price Action on USD/JPY, GBP/JPY

Japanese authorities have not confirmed whether they have intervened in the market to support the Yen. USD/JPY broke a long-term descending trendline but found support near the 100-day MA and 155.00 level. Price Action outlook and potential setups on USD/JPY and...

Is AUDCAD Ready to Extend Its Uptrend?

Is AUDCAD Ready to Extend Its Uptrend?

AUDCAD prints higher highs and higher lows RSI and MACD detect positive momentum Break above 0.9260 could signal trend continuation Dip below 0.9125 may allow a decent correction AUDCAD rebounded today from slightly above the support of 0.9270, marked by the low of...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets The ECB kept its key policy rates unchanged today in an unanimous decision. In its policy statement, the central bank repeats that it doesn’t pre-commit to a particular rate path. They follow a meeting-by-meeting and data-dependent approach to determining the...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.29; (P) 156.95; (R1) 157.84; More… USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 is seen as correcting whole rally from 140.25. Deeper decline is expected as long as 158.85 resistance holds, to 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to 161.94 at 163.65. On the upside, above...

Subdued Forex Trading as ECB Holds Rates Steady

Subdued Forex Trading as ECB Holds Rates Steady

Trading in the forex markets has been relatively subdued today. ECB’s decision to hold interest rates steady was widely expected, and President Christine Lagarde’s press conference did not introduce any significant new information. ECB’s accompanying statement...

US initial jobless claims rises to 243k vs exp 225k

US initial jobless claims rises to 243k vs exp 225k

US initial jobless claims rose 20k to 243k in the week ending July 13, above expectation of 225k. Four-week moving average of initial claims rose 1k to 235k. Continuing claims rose 20k to 1867k in the week ending July 6, highest since November 27, 2021. Four-week...

USDCHF Elliott Wave Analysis Favors Selling Bounces

USDCHF Elliott Wave Analysis Favors Selling Bounces

Hello traders, welcome to a new blog post. Today, we will discuss the future path for the USDCHF currency pair. The recent breakout confirmed the bearish bias we shared with members of Elliottwave-Forecast. So, what is next for this pair in the coming weeks? On April...

Change of Heart from Fed Governor Waller Significant

Change of Heart from Fed Governor Waller Significant

Markets We’ve given Fed governor Waller plenty of attention this year. He’s been the voice of the large minority inside the Fed who from the beginning of the year has been pushing to keep policy rates at their peak levels for longer. Markets had to gradually retrace...

EURUSD Reaches the Midpoint of a Long-Term Downtrend

EURUSD Reaches the Midpoint of a Long-Term Downtrend

EURUSD rally slows down near 4-month high Gets bearish vibes, but positive trend is still alive above 1.0900 ECB to hold interest rates steady at 12:15 GMT; Will it signal a second rate cut? EURUSD took a breather after heightened expectations of a Fed rate cut lifted...

WTI Oil Futures Hold Above 80.00

WTI Oil Futures Hold Above 80.00

WTI futures rebound from a 3-week low Next target for the bulls is the July peak of 84.50 Momentum indicators are cautiously tilted to the upside WTI oil futures (August delivery) had been in a steady uptrend since early June before experiencing a pullback following...

FX option expiries for 18 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 18 July 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.They are all for EUR/USD centered near the 1.0900 level. If anything else, that should help to limit any downside shoves in the session ahead at least before we get to the ECB policy decision later.Besides...

Euro Mixed as ECB Rate Decision Looms

Euro Mixed as ECB Rate Decision Looms

While Euro maintains its strength against Dollar, its performance is more mixed against other major currencies. The market’s attention is now focused on the upcoming ECB rate decision and press conference. It is broadly anticipated that ECB will maintain deposit rate...

AUD/USD: Market Stabilizes Amid Rate Cut Expectations

AUD/USD: Market Stabilizes Amid Rate Cut Expectations

The Australian dollar has stabilized against the US dollar, currently trading around 0.6738. This follows a period of decline influenced by ongoing speculations regarding the US Federal Reserve’s impending policy actions. Expectations are set for the Fed to initiate...

GBP Looks Stronger Than USD Thanks to Inflation

GBP Looks Stronger Than USD Thanks to Inflation

A batch of inflation statistics from the UK seems to have fuelled the Pound’s rally against the Dollar and Euro, which has been going strong since the beginning of the month. Consumer inflation remained at 2.0%, with the core index at 3.5% y/y. At the same time,...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2948; (P) 1.2965; (R1) 1.2992; More… GBP/USD’s rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise from 1.2298 should target 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2859 from 1.2612 at 1.3173, which is slightly...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0877; (P) 1.0900; (R1) 1.0916; More…. EUR/USD’s rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. Break of 1.0915 resistance should now extend the rise from 1.0601 to 100% projection of 1.0601 to 1.0915 from 1.0665...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8922; (P) 0.8951; (R1) 0.8967; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF is back on the downside as fall from 0.9049 resumed through 0.8914 temporary low. Deeper decline is expected to retest 0.8825 support next. Firm break there will resume whole fall from...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.93; (P) 158.39; (R1) 158.88; More… USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 resumed by breaking through 157.16 support and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current decline is seen as correcting whole rally from 140.25. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets After last-week’s softer than expected US CPI data, global investors gained ever greater confidence that the Fed will embark for a genuine, protracted easing cycle soon. Yields turned south, especially at the short end of the (US) yield curve. The dollar faced...

Australian Dollar Eyes Employment Report

Australian Dollar Eyes Employment Report

The Australian dollar is steady on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6743 early in the North American session, up 0.08% on the day. Australia releases the June employment report early on Thursday. The market estimate stands at 20 thousand, compared to 39.7 thousand...

Fed’s Waller suggests rate cuts may be nearing

In a speech today, Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated that Fed is “getting closer” to the time when a cut in the policy rate is warranted. He noted that Q2 data on inflation and the labor market has moderated, suggesting that “progress toward...

Gold Shines at Fresh All-Time High

Gold Shines at Fresh All-Time High

Gold ends sideways trajectory; enters uncharted territory Short-term bias positive but overbought signals suggest some caution A close above 2,480 might be necessary to boost buying confidence Gold bulls powered ahead to finally exit the three-month range and chart an...

Eurozone CPI finalized at 2.5% in Jun, core at 2.9%

Eurozone CPI finalized at 2.5% in Jun, core at 2.9%

Eurozone CPI was finalized at 2.5% yoy in June, down from May’s 2.6% yoy. CPI core (ex-energy, food, alcohol & tobacco) was finalized at 2.9% yoy, unchanged from prior month’s reading. The highest contribution to annual inflation rate came from services (+1.84...

Analysis of XAU/USD: Gold Price Sets Historical Record

Analysis of XAU/USD: Gold Price Sets Historical Record

As the XAU/USD chart shows, on 16th July, the gold price rose above $2460 for the first time in history. The bullish sentiment is driven by: → Anticipation of Fed rate cuts, as the appeal of non-yielding bullion generally increases in low-interest-rate environments. →...

XAU/USD Outlook: Gold Hits New Record High

XAU/USD Outlook: Gold Hits New Record High

Gold hit new record high early Wednesday ($2482), following acceleration through former top on Tuesday (metal was up 1.9% for the day, the biggest daily gain since Dec 13). Break above previous all-time high ($2450) signaled an end of corrective phase ($2450/$2286)...

EURGBP Trades to a New 2024 Low

EURGBP Trades to a New 2024 Low

EURGBP drops to the lowest level since August 2022 Political unrest and weaker economic data keep the euro under pressure Momentum indicators could point to a reversal soon EURGBP is hovering around the lowest level since August 2022, having recorded a decent...

GBPUSD Hits Fresh 1-Year High

GBPUSD Hits Fresh 1-Year High

GBPUSD jumps to fresh 1-year high after UK CPI surprises slightly higher Technical indicators point to overbought conditions following steep rally UK employment figures next on the agenda due on Thursday 06:00 GMT The UK CPI inflation data on Wednesday gave GBPUSD a...

FX option expiries for 17 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 17 July 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of, as highlighted in bold.That being for USD/JPY at the 158.50 level. It isn't one that holds any technical significance but could help to keep price action more contained before we get to US trading. That said, be wary of any surprises...

Sterling Steady, Kiwi Rebounds, Gold Hits Record

Sterling Steady, Kiwi Rebounds, Gold Hits Record

Forex markets have been relatively subdued today. Sterling remains steady after June’s UK CPI data revealed that both headline and core inflation were unchanged from the previous month. Significantly, services inflation also failed to cool, which could keep BoE...

US retail sales steady in Jun, ex-auto sales up 0.4% mom

US retail sales steady in Jun, ex-auto sales up 0.4% mom

US retail sales was steady mom at USD 704.3B in June, above expectation of -0.20% mom. Ex-auto sales rose 0.4% mom to USD 573.6B, above expectation of 0.1% mom. Ex-gasoline sales rose 0.2% mom to USD 652.4B. Ex-auto and gasoline sales rose 0.8% mom to USD 507.1B....

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0877; (P) 1.0900; (R1) 1.0916; More…. EUR/USD’s retreat from 1.0921 extends lower today but stays well above 1.0805 support so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Some more consolidations would be seen but further rally is in favor. Firm...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2955; (P) 1.2975; (R1) 1.2988; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidations below 1.2994 temporary top. But further rally is expected as long as 1.2859 resistance turned support holds. Above 1.2994 will resume the rally from...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8937; (P) 0.8955; (R1) 0.8975; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral first. Another fall is mildly in favor with 0.9000 resistance intact. Below 0.8914 will bring retest of 0.8825 low. However, break of 0.9000 will turn bias back to the...

Canadian Inflation Eases, But Details a Mixed Bag

Canadian Inflation Eases, But Details a Mixed Bag

Headline CPI inflation decelerated in June to 2.7% year-on-year (y/y), right on consensus expectations and below last month’s 2.9% y/y print. The deceleration was led by gasoline prices, which dropped 3.1% month-on-month (m/m), compared to the +5.6% m/m gain last...

Kiwi Coming into Strong Support Ahead of Inflation Data

Kiwi Coming into Strong Support Ahead of Inflation Data

NZDUSD is coming out of consolidation, suggesting that the price action since the start of July was a triangle in wave B. Therefore, the whole retracement from June 12th is much more complex and deeper but still has a corrective shape. It looks like we are just...

USD/CAD Steady After Canadian CPI, US Retail Sales

USD/CAD Steady After Canadian CPI, US Retail Sales

The Canadian dollar is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3687, up 0.03% on the day at the time of writing. Canada’s CPI lower than expected Canada followed the US and posted a better-than-expected inflation...

ECB Could Disappoint Expectations for a Dovish Shift

ECB Could Disappoint Expectations for a Dovish Shift

ECB meets with near zero chances for a rate cut ECB members continue to disagree about the rates outlook A dovish shift looks unlikely as the focus rests with the Fed Euro showing unexpected strength despite political unrest ECB meets but all eyes remain on the US The...

Gold’s Astounding Rally and the Challenges Ahead

Gold’s Astounding Rally and the Challenges Ahead

Gold gains around 18% year-to-date But is it time for the uptrend to cool down a bit? Even if so, the broader outlook remains positive Gold shines bright Gold had a great year-to-date performance, gaining around 18% and hitting a record high of 2450 on May 20. As...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets Global core bonds gained some ground going into today’s main dish, US retail sales. UK gilts slightly outperformed Bunds and Treasuries as markets gear for tomorrow’s June CPI numbers. A further easing on all accounts is expected but the sub 2% drop in the...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.32; (P) 157.88; (R1) 158.57; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidations above 157.61. On the downside, break of 157.16 and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 157.72) will bring deeper correction to 38.2% retracement...

Canada CPI slows to 2.7% yoy in June, down-0.1% mom

Canada CPI slows to 2.7% yoy in June, down-0.1% mom

Canada’s CPI slowed from 2.9% yoy to 2.7% yoy in June. The deceleration was largely the result of slower year-over-year growth in gasoline prices, which rose 0.4% in June following a 5.6% increase in May. Excluding gasoline, the CPI rose 2.8% yoy. Looking at the core...

USD/JPY: May fall Further If US Retail Sales Miss in June

USD/JPY: May fall Further If US Retail Sales Miss in June

USDJPY remains in extended consolidation of last week’s sharp fall, sparked by US inflation data and intervention by Japanese authorities. Near-term action is holding above 55DMA (157.55) which repeatedly contained dips and marks solid support for now. Traders also...

Gold Nears Record High as Fed Rate Cut Looms

Gold Nears Record High as Fed Rate Cut Looms

Gold prices have surged, reaching $2430 per troy ounce on Tuesday, flirting with historic highs. The recent spike in gold prices is largely attributed to comments made by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, which have bolstered expectations of an impending...

German ZEW falls to 41.8, first decline in a year

German ZEW falls to 41.8, first decline in a year

Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment fell from 47.5 to 41.8 in July, below expectation of 44.3. That’s also the first decline in a year since July 2023. Current Situation Index rose from -73.8 to -68.9, above expectation of -73.0. Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment fell from...

NZD: Will Bearish Momentum Halt?

NZD: Will Bearish Momentum Halt?

The NZDUSD pair remains under pressure near 0.6075 in early Asian trading on Tuesday, affected by weak Chinese economic data and a modest rebound in the US Dollar. Attention is on the upcoming US Retail Sales data for June. Focus will also shift to New Zealand’s CPI...

EURJPY Pulls Back from 32-Year High

EURJPY Pulls Back from 32-Year High

EURJPY jumped to its highest since January 1992 last week But corrected lower after suspected Japanese intervention Oscillators weaken but remain above neutral zones EURJPY has been in a steep uptrend since the beginning of the year, storming to consecutive multi-year...

FX option expiries for 16 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 16 July 10am New York cut

There is one to really take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.It is for EUR/USD and seen at the 1.0900 level once again. That is likely to help contain price action and limit any overextensions beyond the figure level, at least until we get to the US retail...

Yen Softens as Rebound Fades; Loonie Looks to Canadian CPI

Yen Softens as Rebound Fades; Loonie Looks to Canadian CPI

Yen weakened broadly during Asian session today, giving back some of last week’s strong gains that were reportedly driven by Japan’s market intervention. Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi repeated in a press conference that it is crucial for currency...

Nikkei Index Has Risen To a Two-Month High

Nikkei Index Has Risen To a Two-Month High

As we reported on 26th June, analysing the Nikkei 225 chart (Japan 225 on FXOpen): → The price is in a significant upward trend (shown by the blue channel); → The price may continue to rise along the median line. Since then, the Nikkei 225 index (Japan 225 on FXOpen)...

Bitcoin Has Surfaced Following a Dive

Bitcoin Has Surfaced Following a Dive

Market picture On Sunday, the cryptocurrency market moved to a rapid rise, completing a consolidation after a correction. Cryptocurrencies positively played off the strengthening chances of Trump’s victory after the assassination attempt. In addition, buyers were...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0876; (P) 1.0893; (R1) 1.0925; More…. No change in EUR/USD’s outlook and intraday bias remains on the upside for the moment. Decisive break of 1.0915 resistance will resume whole rise from 1.0601 to 100% projection of 1.0601 to 1.0915 from 1.0665...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2930; (P) 1.2960; (R1) 1.3019; More… No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias remains on the upside. Rise from 1.2298 is in progress for 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2859 from 1.2612 at 1.3173, which is slightly above 1.3141 key medium...

Sunset Market Commentary

Sunset Market Commentary

Markets Some segments of the US yield curve disinverted in the wake of the Trump shooting. The presidential candidate’s odds to win the November election have increased as a result. His pro-business (for the US at least) agenda is seen as a boost to the economy as...

News of the Week (July 15—19): EURGBP Outlook!

News of the Week (July 15—19): EURGBP Outlook!

The EURGBP, representing the exchange rate between the Euro and the British Pound, is a key measure of economic interplay between the Eurozone and the United Kingdom. The Euro’s value is primarily influenced by the financial policies and performance of the Eurozone...

A Clearer Shape of a Long-Term Dollar Decline

A Clearer Shape of a Long-Term Dollar Decline

While Trump’s rise to power is widely seen as a positive for the dollar, the dollar index hit a one-month low on Monday as it continues to rebound from the Fed’s latest softening tone and inflation slowdown. The impact of Trump’s policies on the dollar is largely...

Bullish Pound Eyes $1.30 Ahead of UK Inflation Test

Bullish Pound Eyes $1.30 Ahead of UK Inflation Test

June CPI numbers the highlight of this week’s UK data flurry Could the Bank of England cut interest rates next month? Pound undeterred as it extends July gains Job stats and retail sales to follow Wednesday’s CPI report (06:00 GMT) On target Inflation in the UK peaked...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8927; (P) 0.8949; (R1) 0.8966; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF is neutral for the moment, but further fall is expected with 0.9000 resistance intact. Below 0.8914 will target 0.8825 low. Break of 0.8825 will target 50% retracement of 0.8332 to...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.03; (P) 158.24; (R1) 159.12; More… USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 is seen as correcting the whole five-wave rally from 140.25. Deeper decline is in favor and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 157.67) will affirm this bearish case. Next target...

Gold’s Rally Stalls at 7-Week High

Gold’s Rally Stalls at 7-Week High

Gold jumped to its highest level since May 22 last week But fails to extend rally, trading flat in past couple of sessions Despite latest weakness, oscillators remain positively tilted Gold has been experiencing solid gains since late June, with the break above its...

NZ Dollar Dips After Soft Services PMI

NZ Dollar Dips After Soft Services PMI

The New Zealand dollar has started the trading week in negative territory. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6097 in the European session, down 0.35% on the day at the time of writing. New Zealand Services PMI slips The week started on a sour note in New Zealand as the Services...

EURUSD Jumps to a Fresh 1-month High

EURUSD Jumps to a Fresh 1-month High

EURUSD edges higher after break above SMAs The pair advances to its highest level since June 4 Oscillators suggest that bullish forces are strengthening EURUSD has been in a steady uptrend after the bullish breakout from its downward sloping trendline in place since...

Japanese Yen Surges Amidst Potential Interventions

Japanese Yen Surges Amidst Potential Interventions

The Japanese yen showed significant strength against the US dollar late last week, with the USD/JPY pair currently stabilizing around 157.86. This marks the lowest level for the currency pair in nearly a month. The yen’s recent surge is attributed to widespread market...

Bitcoin Once Again Above $60k

Bitcoin Once Again Above $60k

Analysing the long-term BTC/USD chart from 16th May, we constructed a “roadmap” for Bitcoin’s price, resembling an expanding fan consisting of a median and support levels below it, and resistance levels above it. Reviewing the BTC/USD chart last time (9 thJuly), we...

FX option expiries for 15 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 15 July 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first ones are for EUR/USD, centered closely in and around the 1.0900 mark. The ones at the figure level are quite huge in size, so they could act as a magnet on price action for the session ahead. That at...

Summary 7/15 – 7/19

Summary 7/15 – 7/19

Monday, Jul 15, 2024 Tuesday, Jul 16, 2024 Wednesday, Jul 17, 2024 Thursday, Jul 18, 2024 Friday, Jul 19, 2024 The post Summary 7/15 – 7/19 appeared first on Action Forex.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/CHF’s late breach of 0.9754 resistance last week suggests that rise from 0.9476 is resuming. Initial bias is back on the upside this week. Further rally would be seen to retest 0.9928 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9677 will turn bias to the downside...

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/AUD’s consolidation from 1.5996 continued last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. While another recovery cannot be ruled out, further decline is expected as long as 1.6211 resistance holds. Break of 1.5996 will resume larger...

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/GBP’s late break of 0.8396 support suggests that larger down trend is resuming. Initial bias remains on the downside this week. Next near term target is 61.8% projection of 0.8619 to 0.8396 from 0.8498 at 0.8360. Firm break there could prompt downside acceleration...

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY retreated sharply after edging higher to 208.09 last week. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, a short term top should be in place. Deeper pullback could be seen through 203.82 temporary low. But downside should be contained by 38.2%...

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD edged lower to 1.3588 last week but recovered after hitting 1.3589 support. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, firm break of 1.3589 will extend the corrective pattern from 1.3845 and target 100% projection of 1.3845 to 1.3589 from...

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD’s rally from 0.6361 continued last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 61.8% projection of 0.6361 to 0.6713 from 0.6619 at 0.6837. Decisive break there could prompt upside acceleration through 0.6870 resistance to 100%...

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD’s strong break of 1.2859 resistance last week confirmed resumption of rally from 1.2298. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2859 from 1.2612 at 1.3173, which is slightly above 1.3141 key medium term...

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY’s sharp decline last week confirmed short term topping at 161.94. Considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, fall from 161.94 is likely corrective whole five-wave rally from 140.25. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 160.25 support turned...

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD’s rally continued last week and hit as high as 1.0910. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Firm break of 1.0915 will resume howl rise from 1.0601 to 100% projection of 1.0601 to 1.0915 from 1.0665 at 1.0979. On the downside, below 1.0859 minor support...

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9049 continued last week despite interim recovery. As noted before, rebound from 8825 should have completed after rejection by channel resistance. Deeper decline is expected as long as 0.9000 resistance holds, to 0.8825 low. Break of 0.8825 will...

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY fell sharply after edging higher to 175.41 last week. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, a short term top should be in place. Deeper correction cannot be ruled out. But for now, downside should be contained by 170.87 and bring rebound, to set...

The Weekly Bottom Line: U.S. – Inflation Cooling

The Weekly Bottom Line: U.S. – Inflation Cooling

U.S. Highlights U.S. inflation eased by more than expected in the month of June, raising the likelihood of a September rate cut. Small business confidence continued to edge higher in June, though several forward-looking indicators suggests some softening in the months...

Nasdaq 100 Index Fell Despite Positive Inflation News

Nasdaq 100 Index Fell Despite Positive Inflation News

Yesterday, Consumer Price Index (CPI) values were published, indicating a slowdown in the rate of inflation in the USA. According to ForexFactory: → CPI month-on-month: actual = -0.1%, forecast = 0.1%, previous month = 0.0%; → CPI year-on-year: actual = 3.0%, forecast...

NZ Dollar Edges Higher Despite Soft Mfg. Data

NZ Dollar Edges Higher Despite Soft Mfg. Data

The New Zealand dollar is slightly higher on Friday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6110 in the European session, up 0.24% on the day at the time of writing. New Zealand dollar showing big swings It has been a volatile few days for the New Zealand dollar. On Wednesday,...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.97; (P) 159.37; (R1) 161.30; More… No change in USD/JPY’s outlook. Deeper decline is expected with 160.25 support turned resistance intact. Fall from 161.94 is seen as corrective the five-wave rally from 140.25. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8919; (P) 0.8961; (R1) 0.9007; More… No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as further decline is expected with 0.9000 resistance intact. Deeper decline would be seen to 0.88825 support. Fall from 0.9223 should be in progress with near term channel...

EUR/USD Outlook: Bulls Hold Grip for Further Advance

EUR/USD Outlook: Bulls Hold Grip for Further Advance

EURUSD continues to trend higher, with minimal negative impact from hotter than expected US PPI data (Jun 0.2% m/m vs 0.1% f/c and 0.0% in May). The latest bull-leg extends into third straight and day pressuring Thursday’s post US CPI spike high (1.0898) which guards...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2858; (P) 1.2903; (R1) 1.2960; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Decisive break of 61.8% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2859 from 1.2612 at 1.2959 would prompt upside acceleration through 1.3141 resistance to 100%...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0829; (P) 1.0864; (R1) 1.0904; More…. No change in EUR/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 1.0915 resistance. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 1.0601 and target 100% projection of 1.0601 to 1.0915...

Analysis of USD/JPY: Was There an Intervention?

Analysis of USD/JPY: Was There an Intervention?

Yesterday’s news of slowing inflation in the US sharply weakened the dollar, anticipating the Federal Reserve’s monetary easing. In the first 15 minutes after the data release: → EUR/USD rose by approximately 0.45% to the psychological level of 1.09; → GBP/USD...

Corporates Have Weighed in on Crypto Once Again

Corporates Have Weighed in on Crypto Once Again

Market picture The crypto market capitalisation fell by 0.8% in 24 hours to $2.11 trillion. An attempt to strengthen the market’s offensive on news about inflation in the US attracted new sellers, which this time can easily be linked to the similar dynamics of the...

USD/JPY Stabilizes After Massive Slide

USD/JPY Stabilizes After Massive Slide

The Japanese yen has edged lower on Friday, after posting huge gains a day earlier. USD/JPY is trading at 159.16 in the European session, up 0.26% on the day at the time of writing. Japanese yen soars – soft US inflation or intervention? The US dollar was down against...

Cliff Notes: Shifting Risks and Rhetoric

Cliff Notes: Shifting Risks and Rhetoric

Key insights from the week that was. The July Westpac-MI Consumer Sentiment Survey confirmed that households remain downbeat, with the headline index falling 1.1% to 82.7. The latest update continues to speak to a challenging context, characterised by a resurgence in...

GBPJPY Hits 20-Day SMA After Multi-Year High

GBPJPY Hits 20-Day SMA After Multi-Year High

GBPJPY may start bearish correction Stochastics move down; RSI ticks up GBPJPY suffered significant losses following an aggressive rally to the multi-year high of 208.10. The pair found immediate support at the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of 203.80, keeping the...

USDCAD Trades Sideways as 200-SMA Provides Support

USDCAD Trades Sideways as 200-SMA Provides Support

USDCAD is rangebound in the past few sessions The 200-day SMA caps the pair’s downside Momentum indicators are negatively tilted USDCAD had been hovering around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) for the past two months, appearing incapable of clearing this...

FX option expiries for 12 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 12 July 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first being for EUR/USD at the 1.0850 level. That could be a bit of a magnet for price action and if anything else, limit any major pullback to the gains from yesterday. That is before the expiries roll...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.38; (P) 161.59; (R1) 161.93; More… USD/JPY declines sharply in early US session and breaks 160.25 support decisively. Considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, fall from 161.49 might already be correcting the whole five-wave rally from...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8973; (P) 0.8987; (R1) 0.9011; More… USD/CHF’s decline from 0.9049 resumed by breaking through 0.8942 support and intraday bias remains is back on the downside for retesting 0.8825. Fall from 0.9223 should be in progress with near term channel...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2800; (P) 1.2825; (R1) 1.2872; More… GBP/USD’s rally continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2859 from 1.2612 at 1.2959. Decisive break there would prompt upside acceleration through 1.3141 to 100%...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0817; (P) 1.0824; (R1) 1.0838; More…. EUR/USD’s rise from 1.0665 resumed by breaking through 1.0844 temporary top and intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0915 resistance. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 1.0601 and target 100%...

AUD/USD Mid-Day Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD Mid-Day Report – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6735; (P) 0.6744; (R1) 0.6755; More... Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the upside as current rally continues to 61.8% projection of 0.6361 to 0.6713 from 0.6619 at 0.6837. Decisive break there could prompt upside acceleration through 0.6870...

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 174.50; (P) 174.83; (R1) 175.45; More… EUR/JPY’s strong break of 173.50 support suggests that a short term top was formed at 175.41, on bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. But there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. While deeper pullback...

ECB Preview – Holiday Season

ECB Preview – Holiday Season

The ECB meeting next week is expected to be largely a stock taking meeting and not a place to send new policy signals. The meeting by meeting and data dependent approach is clear and Lagarde has highlighted that the profit, wages and productivity data will be key,...

EUR/GBP Technical: Make the Pound Great Again

EUR/GBP Technical: Make the Pound Great Again

EUR/GBP has resumed its downward trajectory since the start of the year, now trading close to a 2-year low at 0.8320. Unfavourable political environment in France versus a newly formed Labour-led UK government that favours pro-growth policies may see further...

June CPI: September Rate Cut Incoming

June CPI: September Rate Cut Incoming

Summary This morning’s CPI report was arguably the most encouraging one the FOMC has received since it began its inflation fight nearly two and a half years ago. Consumer prices declined by 0.1%, led lower by a drop in energy prices and a modest increase in food...

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 206.68; (P) 207.25; (R1) 208.34; More… GBP/JPY’s steep decline and strong break of 206.12 support suggest that a short term top is formed at 208.09, on bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. While deeper decline cannot be ruled out, downside...

US initial jobless claims falls to 222k vs exp 239k

US initial jobless claims falls to 222k vs exp 239k

US initial jobless claims fell -17k to 222k in the week ending July 6, below expectation of 239k. Four-week moving average of initial claims fell -4k to 233.5k. Continuing claims fell -4k to 1852k in the week ending June 29. Four-week moving average of continuing...

Pound on the Offensive – Action Forex

Pound on the Offensive – Action Forex

Positive news for the Pound, beyond the fact that England will play in the Euro-24 final. The monthly estimate showed that the economy grew by 0.4% in May (twice as much as expected) and that growth in the last three months accelerated to 1% year-on-year. That’s the...

Crypto Lacks Bulls – Action Forex

Crypto Lacks Bulls – Action Forex

Market picture It seems that all the market bulls have moved on to US and Japanese equities, avoiding cryptocurrencies. The cryptocurrency market failed to break out of its consolidation, and its capitalisation rolled back 1.3% to $2.13 trillion, inside the range from...

AUDUSD Posts a Fresh 6-month High

AUDUSD Posts a Fresh 6-month High

AUDUSD breaks decisively above sideways pattern The price jumps to its highest since January 2024 Oscillators are flagging overbought conditions AUDUSD had been trading in a neutral range for more than two months, unable to adopt a clear directional impetus. However,...

FX option expiries for 11 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 11 July 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first being for USD/CHF at the 0.8950 level. It isn't one that holds any technical significance but could hold any downside pressure as it coincides with the weekly pivot. The ceiling for...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8965; (P) 0.8978; (R1) 0.8991; More… USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.8942/9049 and intraday bias remains neutral. As noted before, rebound from 0.8825 could have completed at 0.9049, after rejection by falling channel resistance. Below 0.8942...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.85; (P) 161.18; (R1) 161.63; More… USD/JPY is still staying in range below 161.95 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected with 160.25 minor support intact. On the upside, break of 161.94 will resume larger up trend to 61.8%...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2768; (P) 1.2797; (R1) 1.2815; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidation continues below 1.2845. Further rally is expected as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.2752) holds. Firm break of 1.2859 will resume the rally from 1.2298 and...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0802; (P) 1.0824; (R1) 1.0845; More…. Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as consolidation continues below 1.0844. Further rally is in favor as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0789) holds. On the upside, above 1.0844 will resume the rebound from...

AUD/NZD: Kiwi Torpedoed by Surprise Dovish Tilt from RBNZ

AUD/NZD: Kiwi Torpedoed by Surprise Dovish Tilt from RBNZ

The Kiwi is the worst intraday performer among the major currencies as it slumped to a 4-week low against the US dollar. A dovish tilt in the latest RBNZ monetary policy statement has triggered a narrowing of the yield discount between the 2-year Australian and New...

Weak Inflation in China Clears the Way for Global Easing

Weak Inflation in China Clears the Way for Global Easing

China’s consumer inflation slowed from 0.3% y/y to 0.2% instead of the expected acceleration to 0.4%, bringing investors’ attention back to weak demand. Meanwhile, manufacturing price deflation slowed from -1.4% y/y to -0.8% y/y, staying in negative territory for the...

GBPAUD Holds Above Key Support Area

GBPAUD Holds Above Key Support Area

GBPAUD consolidates above key support zone RSI and MACD detect negative momentum But a break below 1.8900 is needed to darken the outlook A rebound above 1.9350 may invite more bulls GBPAUD has been trading in a consolidative manner lately staying above the key...

UK Data Eyed as Pound Celebrates Labour Win

UK Data Eyed as Pound Celebrates Labour Win

Monthly GDP and production figures for June on tap Strong data might hurt August rate cut expectations Pound flirts with $1.28 ahead of Thursday’s release (06:00 GMT) Uptick in GDP expected The UK economy got off to a solid start this year, emerging strongly from a...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets In today’s extremely dull trading session, some volatility in the New Zealand dollar, Norwegian krone and Czech koruna are keeping us somewhat entertained. You’ll find the latter two in the section down below. NZD is under pressure (NZD/USD 0.6078) following...

RBNZ Dovishness Hits Kiwi – Action Forex

RBNZ Dovishness Hits Kiwi – Action Forex

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its benchmark interest rate at 5.5% for the eighth consecutive meeting, which was in line with analyst expectations. However, the central bank’s comments were softer than expected, dragging down NZDUSD by around 1% to 0.6070, a low...

Yen Weakness Persists in Calm Trading; Dollar Range-Bound

Yen Weakness Persists in Calm Trading; Dollar Range-Bound

Yen continues its extended selloff today, except against New Zealand Dollar, in an otherwise subdued forex market. Reports indicate that BoJ may lower its economic growth forecasts for this year at its meeting later in July, while predicting that inflation will hover...

Crypto Market Looks to Return to Growth

Crypto Market Looks to Return to Growth

Market Picture According to the sentiment index, the cryptocurrency market remains in a state of fear at 28. Still, market capitalisation rose for the second day in a row as lower prices attracted buyers. Capitalisation rose 1.9% to $2.16 trillion, surpassing previous...

NZD/USD Outlook: Kiwi Dollar Down 1% on Dovish RBNZ

NZD/USD Outlook: Kiwi Dollar Down 1% on Dovish RBNZ

NZDUSD was sharply lower during Wednesday morning (down almost 1% for the session) deflated by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s dovish stance. The central bank left interest rates unchanged at 5.5%, as widely expected, but signaled that the door for possible rate cut...

USDJPY Reapproaches Multi-Year Highs – Action Forex

USDJPY Reapproaches Multi-Year Highs – Action Forex

USDJPY edges higher after the pullback from 38-year high pauses The risk of a Japanese intervention is active at current levels Momentum indicators provide overbought signals USDJPY experienced a minor setback from its 38-year high of 161.95, which quickly came to a...

NZDUSD Tumbles After RBNZ’s Decision

NZDUSD Tumbles After RBNZ’s Decision

NZDUSD finds support at 200-day SMA Prices have been heading lower over the last month Stochastics and RSI keep downside move NZDUSD is posting notable losses after the RBNZ’s policy decision to leave interest rates unchanged at 5.5%. The pair is pausing its decline...

Is It Time for Gold to Emerge Above Key Resistance?

Is It Time for Gold to Emerge Above Key Resistance?

Gold trades higher, but withing a broader sideways range RSI and MACD imply strengthening upside momentum A break above 2388 could add to the bullish case A dip below 2340 may allow declines within the range Gold is moving higher today, after hitting support near the...

Gold Prices Rise Amid Anticipation of Fed Rate Cut

Gold Prices Rise Amid Anticipation of Fed Rate Cut

Gold prices continue to experience an upward trend, reaching 2368 USD per troy ounce, fuelled by growing market anticipation of a potential rate cut by the US Federal Reserve. As investors focus on upcoming US inflation data, gold remains a focal point of investment...

FX option expiries for 10 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 10 July 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first ones are for EUR/USD at 1.0770-75. However, the expiries do not hold much technical significance with key support still seen at around 1.0795-00 currently. That coincides with the confluence of the...

Crypto Bargain-Hunters Are Back – Action Forex

Crypto Bargain-Hunters Are Back – Action Forex

Market picture Bargain hunters are showing themselves in full force in crypto. Cryptocurrency market capitalisation rose 3.6% in 24 hours to $2.11 trillion, climbing back to the top of the range of the past five days. It will take the market to rise another 2% before...

XAU/USD Analysis: Gold Price Falls from Six-Week High

XAU/USD Analysis: Gold Price Falls from Six-Week High

As shown by the XAU/USD chart, on Friday, 5 July, the price of gold rose above the $2390 level for the first time since 22 May. According to Reuters, this increase occurred following the release of key US employment data, which indicated a softening labour market,...

DAX Elliott Wave: Buying the Dips at the Blue Box Area

DAX Elliott Wave: Buying the Dips at the Blue Box Area

Hello fellow traders. In this article we’re going to take a quick look at the Elliott Wave charts of DAX published in members area of the website. As our members know DAX is showing impulsive bullish sequences and we are keep favoring the long side. Recently we got a...

GBP/USD Outlook: Bulls Pause ahead of Powell

GBP/USD Outlook: Bulls Pause ahead of Powell

Cable is holding within a narrow range under new multi-week high during European trading on Tuesday, as markets await today’s key event – the testimony of Fed Chair Powell. Long upper shadow of Monday’s daily candle and overbought conditions on daily chart suggest...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0802; (P) 1.0824; (R1) 1.0845; More…. Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidations below 1.0844 temporary top. Further rally is in favor as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0783) holds. On the upside, above 1.0844 will resume the rebound...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2785; (P) 1.2815; (R1) 1.2838; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.2845. Further rally is expected as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.2743) holds. Firm break of 1.2859 will resume the rally from 1.2298 and target...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8954; (P) 0.8966; (R1) 0.8987; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment. As noted before, rebound from 0.8825 could have completed at 0.9049, after rejection by falling channel resistance. Below 0.8942 will bring deeper fall to...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.28; (P) 160.84; (R1) 161.35; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral at this point. Further rally is expected with 160.25 minor support intact. On the upside, break of 161.94 temporary top will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of...

Euro Shrugs as Investor Confidence Tumbles

Euro Shrugs as Investor Confidence Tumbles

The euro is showing little movement on Tuesday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0819, up 0.05% on the day. The eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence index resumed its losing ways on Monday. The index slid to -7.3 in July, after a 0.3 gain in June. Prior to the June reading, the...

NZD Edges Lower Ahead of RBNZ Decision

NZD Edges Lower Ahead of RBNZ Decision

The New Zealand dollar is steady on Tuesday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6115, down 0.16% in the European session at the time of writing. The New Zealand dollar looked sharp last week against the slumping US dollar, climbing 0.88%. Reserve Bank expected to hold rates...

Fed’s Powell highlights risks beyond elevated inflation

Fed’s Powell highlights risks beyond elevated inflation

In his prepared remarks for the semiannual testimony to Congress, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that it is not appropriate to cut interest rate until there is “greater confidence” that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%. Nevertheless, He noted that recent...

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets European markets were captured in an indecisive trading pattern yesterday, in the wake of the surprise win of the left alliance in the French elections. Spreads of France (and other peripheral EMU countries) initially tightened marginally as none of the...

Markets Await Fed Powell’s Insights, RBNZ on Deck

Markets Await Fed Powell’s Insights, RBNZ on Deck

As US session kicks off, Dollar is trading mildly higher, with traders eagerly anticipating Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s two-day semiannual testimony before Congress. The key questions looming over the markets are whether the Fed will initiate interest rate cuts in...

Australian Dollar Drifting After Mixed Confidence Data

Australian Dollar Drifting After Mixed Confidence Data

The Australian dollar continues to show little movement this week. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6638 in the European session, up 0.02% on the day. Australia released mixed confidence indicators earlier today while there are no US economic releases. Federal Reserve Chair...

Pound Preparing for Bullish Breakout

Pound Preparing for Bullish Breakout

GBPUSD is trading near 1.28, which has acted as an area of resistance in the pair since last December. At the same time, the range of fluctuations of the pound is narrowing, as since October, the downside impulses have become less and less deep, with the price...

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 173.54; (P) 174.08; (R1) 174.65; More… Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 174.50 will resume the larger up trend and target 138.2% projection of 164.01 to 170.87 from 167.52 at 177.00. On the...

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 205.28; (P) 205.98; (R1) 206.66; More… Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with loss of momentum as seen in 4H MACD. On the upside, sustained break of 100% projection of 191.34 to 200.72 from 197.18 at 206.56 will target 138.2% projection at...

EURJPY Moves Beneath Its Lifetime High of 174.60

EURJPY Moves Beneath Its Lifetime High of 174.60

EURJPY struggles to jump above its recent high Momentum oscillators look overstretched EURJPY skyrocketed to a fresh multi-year high of 174.60 in the previous week but is currently hovering slightly below this level, with the technical oscillators suggesting an...

GBPUSD Advances Towards 2024 Highs

GBPUSD Advances Towards 2024 Highs

GBPUSD rebounds from its 50-day SMA The price jumps to its highest since June 12 Momentum indicators are tilted to the upside GBPUSD has been slowly gaining ground following its bounce off the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) in late June. Moreover, the pair has...

FX option expiries for 9 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 9 July 10am New York cut

There are just two to really take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.They are both for EUR/USD at the 1.0800 and 1.0875 levels. The former is arguably the one with more interest, as it lines up near the key daily moving averages. The technical significance...

News of the Week (July 8—12): NZDUSD Detailed Analysis!

News of the Week (July 8—12): NZDUSD Detailed Analysis!

The NZDUSD pair, often called the “Kiwi,” refers to the exchange rate between the New Zealand dollar and the US dollar and is an important indicator for understanding the economic relationship between New Zealand and the United States. The New Zealand dollar is...

EUR/USD Gains Ground Despite French Election Shocker

EUR/USD Gains Ground Despite French Election Shocker

The euro has started the week with gains and is trading at 1.0836 in the European session, up 0.33% on the day. EUR/USD is coming off its best week of the year, gaining 1.19%. France veers to the left in Round 2 France has been on a political roller over the past two...

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2773; (P) 1.2796; (R1) 1.2837; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside as rally from 1.2612 is in progress for retesting 1.2859 resistance. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.2298 and target 61.8% projection of 1.2298 to...

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.28; (P) 160.84; (R1) 161.35; More… Range trading continues in USD/JPY and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is expected with 160.25 minor support intact. On the upside, break of 161.94 temporary top will resume larger up trend to 61.8%...

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8939; (P) 0.8973; (R1) 0.8992; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Rebound from 0.8825 could have completed at 0.9049, after rejection by falling channel resistance. Also, fall from 0.9223 is not completed yet....

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets Yesterday’s second round in the French parliamentary elections resulted in a hung parliament, be it in a totally different setup than polls suggested. Le Pen’s Rassemblement National (RN) unexpectedly finished third, securing 143 seats. Macron’s centrists...

USDJPY Finds Strong Support at Key Fibo Zone

USDJPY Finds Strong Support at Key Fibo Zone

USDJPY hits key Fibo retracement level But momentum indicators still point to weakness A break above 161.35 could pave the way towards 161.65 A slide below 160.35 may invite more bears USDJPY traded higher today after it triggered some buy orders near the 160.35...

Could US CPI Report Finally Bring About a Fed Pivot?

Could US CPI Report Finally Bring About a Fed Pivot?

Further decline in headline CPI is expected in June Labour market is also showing signs of slowdown Will Thursday’s report (12:30 GMT) convince the Fed it’s time to cut? Ahead of that, Powell testifies on Tuesday (14:00 GMT) Fed still not convinced After several...

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0813; (P) 1.0827; (R1) 1.0854; More…. Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside, as rise from 1.0665 is in progress for retesting 1.0915 resistance. Firm break there will target 100% projection of 1.0601 to 1.0915 from 1.0665 at 1.0919 next....

ECB’s Knot rules out July rate cut

ECB’s Knot rules out July rate cut

ECB Governing Council member Klaas Knot has indicated there is no case for another rate cut in July. In an interview with Handelsblatt, Knot stated, “I don’t see a case for another rate cut in July.” He emphasized that the next ECB meeting that will consider rate...

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